Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 14/11, 13:00

Prediction: MFK Bytca vs FC Petrzalka

Team pages: MFK Bytca · FC Petrzalka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

MFK Bytca0.73

FC Petrzalka2.09

1X2

12% 20% 69%

MFK Bytca Draw FC Petrzalka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-2 13%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Bytca 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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FC Petrzalka 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

MFK Bytca 0–1 FC Petrzalka (1 last)

FC Petrzalka4-0MFK Bytca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Bytca 1409 · FC Petrzalka 1519

	MFK Bytca	Draw	FC Petrzalka
Our model	11%	21%	68%
Market	12%	19%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Petrzalka (rating 1409 vs 1519).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Bytca	FC Petrzalka
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.6	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.3	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	5.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

17.50

X4.75

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.95

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:58 +5’	7.50	4.75	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Bytca 0–0–1 FC Petrzalka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Petrzalka	4-0 HT 1-0	MFK Bytca

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	STK Samorin	16	11	3	2	32	19	36
2	FC Petrzalka	16	10	3	3	25	12	33
3	MSK Povazska Bystrica	16	9	2	5	30	27	29
4	FC Tatran Presov	16	8	4	4	25	19	28
5	FK Pohronie	16	8	3	5	28	20	27
6	Slovan Galanta	16	8	2	6	28	27	26
7	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	16	7	4	5	26	18	25
8	MSK Zilina B	16	7	3	6	22	20	24
9	Inter Bratislava	16	6	6	4	36	23	24
10	OFK Banik Lehota	16	6	4	6	23	27	22
11	Slovan Bratislava B	16	5	6	5	23	20	21
12	OFK Malzenice	16	4	4	8	24	28	16
13	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	16	3	5	8	14	20	14
14	FK Humenne	16	3	4	9	14	26	13
15	MFK Zvolen	16	2	3	11	16	29	9
16	MFK Bytca	16	3	0	13	14	45	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Bytca	FC Petrzalka
FK Humenne	4-1 W	1-0 W
MSK Zilina B	1-2 L	2-1 W
MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-4 L	0-1 L
OFK Banik Lehota	2-1 W	0-1 L
Slovan Bratislava B	0-2 L	1-1 D
STK Samorin	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Petrzalka (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Bytca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/11	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	2	L
31/10	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	0-5	7	2	L
24/10	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
17/10	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-2	6	9	L
10/10	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	2-0	4-1	7	7	W
03/10	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
26/09	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-4	4	1	L
19/09	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
05/09	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	5	L

FC Petrzalka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	10	5	W
01/11	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
24/10	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
18/10	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
04/10	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
26/09	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
21/09	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
12/09	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-4	8	6	L
05/09	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Bytca vs FC Petrzalka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Petrzalka win (69%). Probabilities: MFK Bytca 12%, draw 20%, FC Petrzalka 69%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Bytca vs FC Petrzalka?

The model expects 2.82 goals (MFK Bytca 0.73 · FC Petrzalka 2.09), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Bytca vs FC Petrzalka?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.