Football · Chile Primera B · 15/11, 22:00
Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Union Espanola
Team pages: Union San Felipe · Union Espanola
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Union San Felipe1.22
Union Espanola1.24
1X2
Union San Felipe
Draw
Union Espanola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union San Felipe
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Union Espanola
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union San Felipe
1–3–2
Union Espanola
(6 last)
- Union Espanola2-2Union San Felipe
- Union Espanola0-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-2Union Espanola
- Union Espanola2-1Union San Felipe
- Union San Felipe1-1Union Espanola
- Union Espanola1-1Union San Felipe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union San Felipe 1404 · Union Espanola 1461
| Union San Felipe | Draw | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 30% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Espanola (rating 1404 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Union Espanola: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union San Felipe | Union Espanola | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.9 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 1–3–2 Union Espanola
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/26 Chile Primera B | Union Espanola | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Union San Felipe |
| 22/07/17 Chile Cup | Union Espanola | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 17/07/17 Chile Cup | Union San Felipe | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Union Espanola |
| 02/08/15 Chile Cup | Union Espanola | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Union San Felipe |
| 09/07/15 Chile Cup | Union San Felipe | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Union Espanola |
| 05/12/14 Chile Cup | Union Espanola | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | San Luis Quillota | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 50 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 48 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 44 | 46 |
| 6 | San Marcos De Arica | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 43 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 43 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 41 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 38 |
| 11 | Puerto Montt | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 45 | 36 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 47 | 31 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 24 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 53 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 47 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union San Felipe | Union Espanola |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Temuco | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Iquique | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Curico Unido | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Cobreloa | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 6 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Espanola (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 12/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-4 | 0-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 30/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
Union Espanola
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/10 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 12/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 09/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Union Espanola?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Espanola win (37%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 36%, draw 28%, Union Espanola 37%.
How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Union Espanola?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Union San Felipe 1.22 · Union Espanola 1.24), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Union Espanola?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.