Football · Chile Primera B · 16/11, 00:30
Prediction: Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique
Team pages: Deportes Recoleta · Deportes Iquique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Deportes Recoleta1.37
Deportes Iquique1.45
1X2
Deportes Recoleta
Draw
Deportes Iquique
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Recoleta
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Deportes Iquique
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Recoleta
1–2–2
Deportes Iquique
(5 last)
- Deportes Iquique1-1Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Iquique2-1Deportes Recoleta
- Deportes Recoleta1-1Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Recoleta3-0Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique2-1Deportes Recoleta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Recoleta 1505 · Deportes Iquique 1522
| Deportes Recoleta | Draw | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Iquique: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Recoleta | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.8 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Recoleta 1–2–2 Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 21/08/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 14/04/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 16/10/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 15/05/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Recoleta |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | San Luis Quillota | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 50 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 48 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 44 | 46 |
| 6 | San Marcos De Arica | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 43 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 43 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 41 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 38 |
| 11 | Puerto Montt | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 45 | 36 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 47 | 31 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 24 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 53 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 47 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Recoleta | Deportes Iquique |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Magallanes | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Santiago Wanderers | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Curico Unido | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Recoleta (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 12/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 05/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Iquique win (38%). Probabilities: Deportes Recoleta 35%, draw 27%, Deportes Iquique 38%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Deportes Recoleta 1.37 · Deportes Iquique 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.