Football · Chile Primera B · 15/11, 22:00
Prediction: Cobreloa vs Puerto Montt
Team pages: Cobreloa · Puerto Montt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Cobreloa1.9
Puerto Montt0.75
1X2
Cobreloa
Draw
Puerto Montt
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cobreloa
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Puerto Montt
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cobreloa
3–3–0
Puerto Montt
(6 last)
- Puerto Montt1-1Cobreloa
- Cobreloa1-0Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt0-0Cobreloa
- Puerto Montt0-2Cobreloa
- Cobreloa2-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt0-0Cobreloa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobreloa 1524 · Puerto Montt 1425
| Cobreloa | Draw | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 65% | 20% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1524 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobreloa | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.6 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobreloa 3–3–0 Puerto Montt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 23/07/23 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 07/03/23 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 12/08/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
| 02/04/22 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 28/10/21 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobreloa |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | San Luis Quillota | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 50 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 48 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 44 | 46 |
| 6 | San Marcos De Arica | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 43 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 43 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 41 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 38 |
| 11 | Puerto Montt | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 45 | 36 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 47 | 31 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 24 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 53 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 47 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobreloa | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Santiago Wanderers | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| San Luis Quillota | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| San Marcos De Arica | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Union San Felipe | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cobreloa (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 17/10 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
3-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/09 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cobreloa vs Puerto Montt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cobreloa win (65%). Probabilities: Cobreloa 65%, draw 21%, Puerto Montt 14%.
How many goals are expected in Cobreloa vs Puerto Montt?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Cobreloa 1.9 · Puerto Montt 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cobreloa vs Puerto Montt?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.