Football · Chile Primera B · 15/11, 22:00
Prediction: Magallanes vs CD Antofagasta
Team pages: Magallanes · CD Antofagasta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Magallanes1.14
CD Antofagasta1.18
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
CD Antofagasta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CD Antofagasta
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
2–1–2
CD Antofagasta
(5 last)
- CD Antofagasta0-0Magallanes
- Magallanes1-0CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta5-0Magallanes
- Magallanes1-0CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta2-1Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1516 · CD Antofagasta 1547
| Magallanes | Draw | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.5 | 2.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 2–1–2 CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 26/10/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 15/06/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Magallanes |
| 07/10/24 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 19/05/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | San Luis Quillota | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 50 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 48 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 44 | 46 |
| 6 | San Marcos De Arica | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 43 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 43 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 41 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 38 |
| 11 | Puerto Montt | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 45 | 36 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 47 | 31 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 24 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 53 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 47 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | CD Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| San Luis Quillota | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Curico Unido | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Rangers de Talca | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Antofagasta (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 15/09 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs CD Antofagasta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Antofagasta win (37%). Probabilities: Magallanes 35%, draw 28%, CD Antofagasta 37%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs CD Antofagasta?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Magallanes 1.14 · CD Antofagasta 1.18), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs CD Antofagasta?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.