Football · Chile Primera B · 15/11, 16:00
Prediction: Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Copiapo
Team pages: Santiago Wanderers · Deportes Copiapo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Santiago Wanderers1.34
Deportes Copiapo1.29
1X2
Santiago Wanderers
Draw
Deportes Copiapo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Wanderers
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Copiapo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santiago Wanderers
2–1–3
Deportes Copiapo
(6 last)
- Deportes Copiapo1-0Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers1-0Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo3-0Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers1-0Deportes Copiapo
- Deportes Copiapo1-1Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers0-3Deportes Copiapo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Wanderers 1504 · Deportes Copiapo 1504
| Santiago Wanderers | Draw | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Santiago Wanderers | Deportes Copiapo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Wanderers 2–1–3 Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 09/08/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 01/04/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 21/08/22 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 09/04/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 18/05/19 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Deportes Copiapo |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 54 |
| 2 | San Luis Quillota | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 54 |
| 3 | Santiago Wanderers | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 50 |
| 4 | CD Antofagasta | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 26 | 48 |
| 5 | Magallanes | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 44 | 46 |
| 6 | San Marcos De Arica | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 43 |
| 7 | Deportes Recoleta | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 43 | 42 |
| 8 | Deportes Copiapo | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 41 |
| 9 | Union Espanola | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 38 |
| 11 | Puerto Montt | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 36 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 45 | 36 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 47 | 31 |
| 14 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 29 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 24 |
| 15 | Union San Felipe | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 53 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 47 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santiago Wanderers | Deportes Copiapo |
|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Curico Unido | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Cobreloa | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Magallanes | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Puerto Montt | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Copiapo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 16/10 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Deportes Copiapo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/10 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 11/10 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 30/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Copiapo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Santiago Wanderers win (37%). Probabilities: Santiago Wanderers 37%, draw 28%, Deportes Copiapo 35%.
How many goals are expected in Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Santiago Wanderers 1.34 · Deportes Copiapo 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Santiago Wanderers vs Deportes Copiapo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.