Football · Thailand Division 3 · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Chachoengsao FC vs Burapha United

Team pages: Chachoengsao FC · Burapha United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Chachoengsao FC0.77
Burapha United1.62
1X2
18% 23% 58%
Chachoengsao FC Draw Burapha United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chachoengsao FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWLLWWDW
Burapha United 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLDWWWL
Head-to-head
Chachoengsao FC 0–1–2 Burapha United (3 last)
  • Chachoengsao FC0-2Burapha United
  • Chachoengsao FC0-2Burapha United
  • Burapha United0-0Chachoengsao FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chachoengsao FC 1518 · Burapha United 1617
Chachoengsao FCDrawBurapha United
Our model17%27%57%
Market20%20%60%
Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burapha United (rating 1518 vs 1617).
  • H2H favours Burapha United: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chachoengsao FCBurapha United
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.92.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.30.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.62.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.23.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chachoengsao FC 0–1–2 Burapha United

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Thailand Division 3
Chachoengsao FC0-2
HT 0-1
Burapha United
24/12/25
Thailand Division 3 Cup
Chachoengsao FC0-2
HT 0-0
Burapha United
15/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Burapha United0-0
HT 0-0
Chachoengsao FC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChachoengsao FCBurapha United
Customs United 3-2 W 7-2 W
Padriew City 1-1 D 4-0 W
Royal Navy 1-0 W 0-1 L
Pluak Daeng United 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Burapha United (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chachoengsao FC

DWLWLLWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Customs United
Thailand Division 3
1-1 3-2 53 W
24/10 Padriew City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 57 D
11/10 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 06 W
03/10 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 45 W
07/03 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-2 26 L
28/02 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 27 L
11/02 Padriew City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 13 W
01/02 Customs United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 35 L
25/01 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 117 W
18/01 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 33 D

Burapha United

WWWWLDWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 113 L
10/10 Customs United
Thailand Division 3
3-0 7-2 114 W
20/09 Padriew City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 4-0 42 W
16/05 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 25 W
10/05 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-2 00 D
02/05 Muang Loei United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 45 L
28/04 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 77 W
19/04 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 44 W
15/03 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
1-1 3-1 54 W
07/03 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chachoengsao FC vs Burapha United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Burapha United win (58%). Probabilities: Chachoengsao FC 18%, draw 23%, Burapha United 58%.

How many goals are expected in Chachoengsao FC vs Burapha United?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Chachoengsao FC 0.77 · Burapha United 1.62), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Chachoengsao FC vs Burapha United?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.