Football · Thailand Division 3 · 08/11, 09:30

Prediction: Kasem Bundit University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC

Team pages: Kasem Bundit University · Royal Thai Air Force FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Kasem Bundit University1.2

Royal Thai Air Force FC1.29

1X2

34% 28% 38%

Kasem Bundit University Draw Royal Thai Air Force FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kasem Bundit University 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDWDDL

Royal Thai Air Force FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWLDDW

Head-to-head

Kasem Bundit University 2–4–0 Royal Thai Air Force FC (6 last)

Royal Thai Air Force FC0-1Kasem Bundit University
Royal Thai Air Force FC2-2Kasem Bundit University
Kasem Bundit University2-2Royal Thai Air Force FC
Kasem Bundit University1-1Royal Thai Air Force FC
Royal Thai Air Force FC1-1Kasem Bundit University
Kasem Bundit University3-0Royal Thai Air Force FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kasem Bundit University 1508 · Royal Thai Air Force FC 1509

	Kasem Bundit University	Draw	Royal Thai Air Force FC
Our model	33%	30%	37%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kasem Bundit University: 2-4-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kasem Bundit University	Royal Thai Air Force FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:40 +15’	2.60	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasem Bundit University 2–4–0 Royal Thai Air Force FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Air Force FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Kasem Bundit University
17/12/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Royal Thai Air Force FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Kasem Bundit University
25/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Kasem Bundit University	2-2 HT 1-1	Royal Thai Air Force FC
23/02/25 Thailand Division 3	Kasem Bundit University	1-1 HT 0-1	Royal Thai Air Force FC
26/10/24 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Air Force FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Kasem Bundit University
21/01/24 Thailand Division 3	Kasem Bundit University	3-0 HT 3-0	Royal Thai Air Force FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kasem Bundit University	Royal Thai Air Force FC
Pathum Thani University	2-3 L	0-0 D
Ayutthaya PK FC	1-1 D	4-0 W
North Bangkok University	0-0 D	1-2 L
Bangkapi FC	4-2 W	0-0 D
Ang Thong FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Chamchuri Utd	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Royal Thai Air Force FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kasem Bundit University

LDLLWDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	2-3	2-3	7	11	L
25/10	Ayutthaya PK FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
18/10	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
11/10	Bangkapi FC Thailand Division 3	2-1	4-2	9	3	W
04/10	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-2	4	7	D
19/09	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	10	5	W
21/03	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
15/03	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-2	0-4	5	2	L
08/03	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
28/02	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	3	4	L

Royal Thai Air Force FC

WWLDLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Ayutthaya PK FC Thailand Division 3	3-0	4-0	9	3	W
25/10	Bangkapi FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
18/10	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
11/10	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
21/03	Futera United Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
08/03	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	7	0	L
01/03	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
15/02	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
10/02	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
31/01	Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kasem Bundit University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Royal Thai Air Force FC win (38%). Probabilities: Kasem Bundit University 34%, draw 28%, Royal Thai Air Force FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kasem Bundit University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Kasem Bundit University 1.2 · Royal Thai Air Force FC 1.29), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kasem Bundit University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.