Football · Taiwan Premier League · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: Hang Yuen vs Taichung Rock FC

Team pages: Hang Yuen · Taichung Rock FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Hang Yuen2.06

Taichung Rock FC0.82

1X2

66% 21% 13%

Hang Yuen Draw Taichung Rock FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hang Yuen 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Taichung Rock FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hang Yuen 1–2 Taichung Rock FC (3 last)

Hang Yuen0-2Taichung Rock FC
Hang Yuen3-0Taichung Rock FC
Taichung Rock FC2-1Hang Yuen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hang Yuen 1522 · Taichung Rock FC 1460

	Hang Yuen	Draw	Taichung Rock FC
Our model	65%	22%	13%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hang Yuen (rating 1522 vs 1460).
H2H favours Taichung Rock FC: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hang Yuen	Taichung Rock FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.3	1.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.36▲	Bet365 1.36
X	5.00 → 4.50▼	Pinn 5.03 ★
2	7.50 → 6.50▼	Pinn 6.89

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +15’	1.28	5.00	7.50
18:03 +6’	1.36▲	4.50▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +9’	1.32	5.03	6.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hang Yuen 1–0–2 Taichung Rock FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Taiwan Premier League	Hang Yuen	0-2 HT 0-2	Taichung Rock FC
23/11/25 Taiwan Premier League	Hang Yuen	3-0 HT 2-0	Taichung Rock FC
17/08/25 Taiwan Premier League	Taichung Rock FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Hang Yuen

Standings · Taiwan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaohsiung Attackers FC	4	2	2	0	9	4	8
2	Taiwan Power Company	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
3	AC Taipei	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
4	Taipei City Tatung	5	1	4	0	5	4	7
5	Taichung Futuro	5	2	1	2	4	4	7
6	Hang Yuen	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
7	Tainan City	3	0	2	1	1	3	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	4	0	0	4	4	12	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hang Yuen	Taichung Rock FC
Kaohsiung Attackers FC	1-1 D	2-5 L
Taipei City Tatung	0-0 D	1-0 W
Tainan City	1-1 D	2-4 L
AC Taipei	2-0 W	1-2 L
Taiwan Power Company	2-0 W	1-3 L
Taichung Futuro	0-1 L	0-2 L
Ming Chuan University	3-2 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Hang Yuen (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hang Yuen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Kaohsiung Attackers FC Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
20/09	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
13/09	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
30/05	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
24/05	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
17/05	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
10/05	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
03/05	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	1	W
26/04	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
19/04	Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League	2-1	3-2	4	3	W

Taichung Rock FC

WDWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
11/10	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
20/09	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	0-2	1-3	6	7	L
13/09	Kaohsiung Attackers FC Taiwan Premier League	2-2	2-5	–	–	L
24/05	Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
17/05	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
10/05	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	1-3	2-4	1	4	L
03/05	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/04	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
19/04	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hang Yuen vs Taichung Rock FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hang Yuen win (66%). Probabilities: Hang Yuen 66%, draw 21%, Taichung Rock FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Hang Yuen vs Taichung Rock FC?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Hang Yuen 2.06 · Taichung Rock FC 0.82), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hang Yuen vs Taichung Rock FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.