Football · Taiwan Premier League · 01/11, 09:00

Prediction: Taipei City Tatung vs AC Taipei

Team pages: Taipei City Tatung · AC Taipei

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Taipei City Tatung0.95

AC Taipei1.27

1X2

28% 28% 44%

Taipei City Tatung Draw AC Taipei

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Taipei City Tatung 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLDWDDDD

AC Taipei 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Taipei City Tatung 2–3–1 AC Taipei (6 last)

Taipei City Tatung1-1AC Taipei
Taipei City Tatung1-1AC Taipei
AC Taipei2-2Taipei City Tatung
AC Taipei2-0Taipei City Tatung
AC Taipei0-1Taipei City Tatung
Taipei City Tatung2-0AC Taipei

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taipei City Tatung 1472 · AC Taipei 1549

	Taipei City Tatung	Draw	AC Taipei
Our model	26%	31%	42%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Taipei (rating 1472 vs 1549).
H2H favours Taipei City Tatung: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taipei City Tatung	AC Taipei
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:38 +2’	3.10	3.50	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taipei City Tatung 2–3–1 AC Taipei

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Taiwan Premier League	Taipei City Tatung	1-1 HT 0-1	AC Taipei
15/03/26 Taiwan Premier League	Taipei City Tatung	1-1 HT 1-1	AC Taipei
07/12/25 Taiwan Premier League	AC Taipei	2-2 HT 1-1	Taipei City Tatung
27/10/24 Taiwan Premier League	AC Taipei	2-0 HT 1-0	Taipei City Tatung
16/06/24 Taiwan Premier League	AC Taipei	0-1 HT 0-1	Taipei City Tatung
05/05/24 Taiwan Premier League	Taipei City Tatung	2-0 HT 1-0	AC Taipei

Standings · Taiwan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaohsiung Attackers FC	4	2	2	0	9	4	8
2	Taiwan Power Company	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
3	AC Taipei	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
4	Taipei City Tatung	5	1	4	0	5	4	7
5	Taichung Futuro	5	2	1	2	4	4	7
6	Hang Yuen	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
7	Tainan City	3	0	2	1	1	3	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	4	0	0	4	4	12	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taipei City Tatung	AC Taipei
Taiwan Power Company	3-3 D	0-1 L
Tainan City	0-0 D	2-0 W
Hang Yuen	0-0 D	0-2 L
Taichung Futuro	1-0 W	1-1 D
Taichung Rock FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Taipei City Tatung (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taipei City Tatung

DLLLDWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	3-2	3-3	4	5	D
18/10	Kaohsiung Attackers FC Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
11/10	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
20/09	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
13/09	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	0	W
24/05	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
10/05	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
03/05	Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
26/04	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D

AC Taipei

WDWWWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/10	Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
20/09	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
13/09	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
24/05	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
17/05	Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
10/05	Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
03/05	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
26/04	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
19/04	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taipei City Tatung vs AC Taipei?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Taipei win (44%). Probabilities: Taipei City Tatung 28%, draw 28%, AC Taipei 44%.

How many goals are expected in Taipei City Tatung vs AC Taipei?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Taipei City Tatung 0.95 · AC Taipei 1.27), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Taipei City Tatung vs AC Taipei?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.