Football · Taiwan Premier League · 01/11, 11:30

Prediction: Tainan City vs Taichung Futuro

Team pages: Tainan City · Taichung Futuro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Tainan City1.29

Taichung Futuro1.2

1X2

39% 27% 35%

Tainan City Draw Taichung Futuro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Tainan City 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWDLD

Taichung Futuro 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Tainan City 3–1–2 Taichung Futuro (6 last)

Tainan City2-1Taichung Futuro
Taichung Futuro0-1Tainan City
Tainan City2-3Taichung Futuro
Tainan City7-3Taichung Futuro
Taichung Futuro1-0Tainan City
Tainan City1-1Taichung Futuro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tainan City 1527 · Taichung Futuro 1513

	Tainan City	Draw	Taichung Futuro
Our model	37%	30%	33%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tainan City: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tainan City	Taichung Futuro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.7	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	1.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.10▼	Pinn 2.11
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	2.50 → 2.80▲	Pinn 3.04 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +14’	2.25	3.75	2.50
13:32 +5’	2.10▼	3.80▲	2.70▲
17:48 +7’	2.10	3.60▼	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:35 +2’	2.11	3.38	3.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tainan City 3–1–2 Taichung Futuro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Taiwan Premier League	Tainan City	2-1 HT 1-0	Taichung Futuro
15/03/26 Taiwan Premier League	Taichung Futuro	0-1 HT 0-0	Tainan City
08/03/26 Taiwan Premier League	Tainan City	2-3 HT 2-2	Taichung Futuro
29/09/24 Taiwan Premier League	Tainan City	7-3 HT 3-1	Taichung Futuro
18/08/24 Taiwan Premier League	Taichung Futuro	1-0 HT 1-0	Tainan City
14/04/24 Taiwan Premier League	Tainan City	1-1 HT 0-1	Taichung Futuro

Standings · Taiwan Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaohsiung Attackers FC	4	2	2	0	9	4	8
2	Taiwan Power Company	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
3	AC Taipei	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
4	Taipei City Tatung	5	1	4	0	5	4	7
5	Taichung Futuro	5	2	1	2	4	4	7
6	Hang Yuen	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
7	Tainan City	3	0	2	1	1	3	2
8	Taichung Rock FC	4	0	0	4	4	12	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tainan City	Taichung Futuro
Taipei City Tatung	0-0 D	0-1 L
AC Taipei	0-2 L	1-1 D
Hang Yuen	1-1 D	1-0 W
Taichung Rock FC	4-2 W	2-0 W
Ming Chuan University	4-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Taichung Futuro (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tainan City

WWLWDWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
20/09	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
13/09	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
30/05	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
24/05	Taichung Futuro Taiwan Premier League	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
17/05	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/05	Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League	3-1	4-2	7	4	W
03/05	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	0-1	0-1	14	3	L
26/04	Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
19/04	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

Taichung Futuro

WWWWLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Taichung Rock FC Taiwan Premier League	2-0	2-0	8	1	W
18/10	AC Taipei Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
11/10	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
20/09	Kaohsiung Attackers FC Taiwan Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
13/09	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
24/05	Tainan City Taiwan Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
17/05	Taipei City Tatung Taiwan Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
10/05	Taiwan Power Company Taiwan Premier League	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
03/05	Ming Chuan University Taiwan Premier League	1-0	4-0	3	1	W
26/04	Hang Yuen Taiwan Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tainan City vs Taichung Futuro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tainan City win (39%). Probabilities: Tainan City 39%, draw 27%, Taichung Futuro 35%.

How many goals are expected in Tainan City vs Taichung Futuro?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Tainan City 1.29 · Taichung Futuro 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Tainan City vs Taichung Futuro?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.