Prediction: Assumption United vs Thap Luang United
Team pages: Assumption United · Thap Luang United
- Assumption United1-4Thap Luang United
- Thap Luang United2-0Assumption United
- Assumption United0-1Thap Luang United
- Thap Luang United0-0Assumption United
| Assumption United | Draw | Thap Luang United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 33% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Thap Luang United: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Assumption United | Thap Luang United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.2 | 1.3 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Assumption United 0–1–3 Thap Luang United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Thailand Division 3 | Assumption United | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Thap Luang United |
| 16/03/25 Thailand Division 3 | Thap Luang United | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Assumption United |
| 17/11/24 Thailand Division 3 | Assumption United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Thap Luang United |
| 19/11/23 Thailand Division 3 | Thap Luang United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Assumption United |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Assumption United | Thap Luang United |
|---|---|---|
| VRN Muangnont FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Royal Thai Army | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Thonburi United FC | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Thap Luang United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Assumption United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Phetchaburi PBRU FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/03 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/02 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/02 | Suphanburi FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/02 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Thap Luang United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Samut Songkhram City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Bangkok FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/03 | Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15/02 | Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/01 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Assumption United vs Thap Luang United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Assumption United win (39%). Probabilities: Assumption United 39%, draw 30%, Thap Luang United 31%.
How many goals are expected in Assumption United vs Thap Luang United?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Assumption United 1.11 · Thap Luang United 0.96), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Assumption United vs Thap Luang United?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.