Prediction: Burapha United vs Royal Navy
Team pages: Burapha United · Royal Navy
- Burapha United1-0Royal Navy
| Burapha United | Draw | Royal Navy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 21% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burapha United (rating 1630 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Burapha United | Royal Navy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.8 | 2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Burapha United 1–0–0 Royal Navy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup | Burapha United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Royal Navy |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Burapha United | Royal Navy |
|---|---|---|
| Customs United | 7-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Padriew City | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Fleet FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Pluak Daeng United | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Chachoengsao FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Burapha United (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Burapha United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Customs United Thailand Division 3 |
3-0 | 7-2 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Udon United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Udon United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/02 | Bankhai United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
Royal Navy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Customs United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 15 | L |
| 22/02 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/02 | Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/02 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/02 | ACDC FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/01 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Burapha United vs Royal Navy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Burapha United win (68%). Probabilities: Burapha United 68%, draw 19%, Royal Navy 12%.
How many goals are expected in Burapha United vs Royal Navy?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Burapha United 2.09 · Royal Navy 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Burapha United vs Royal Navy?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.