Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 30/10, 18:00

Prediction: Hlucin vs FK Sumperk

Team pages: Hlucin · FK Sumperk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Hlucin2.14
FK Sumperk1.07
1X2
61% 21% 18%
Hlucin Draw FK Sumperk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hlucin 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLDLDW
FK Sumperk 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLDDDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hlucin 1547 · FK Sumperk 1454
HlucinDrawFK Sumperk
Our model61%22%17%
Market62%21%18%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hlucin (rating 1547 vs 1454).
  • High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HlucinFK Sumperk
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.31.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.10.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4.1 / 7.63.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14.8 / 0.4

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Bohumin 121002 401530
2 Kravare 12831 281327
3 FC Vratimov 12903 251727
4 Hlucin 12723 231623
5 TJ Valasske Mezirici 12543 251919
6 Opava B 12615 272319
7 SK Zabreh 12534 161418
8 Jiskra Rymarov 12525 272017
9 SK Stonava 12525 222217
10 TJ Novy Jicin 12435 182215
11 Pusta Polom 12426 202414
12 Frydek Mistek B 12417 232713
13 FK Sumperk 12255 151811
14 Bridlicna 12318 162710
15 SSK Bilovec 12237 9269
16 Frydlant Nad Ostravici 121011 13443

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHlucinFK Sumperk
Opava B 3-1 W 1-2 L
Kravare 0-0 D 1-1 D
Frydlant Nad Ostravici 0-3 L 5-1 W
TJ Novy Jicin 1-1 D 0-0 D
SK Stonava 1-4 L 0-3 L
Pusta Polom 4-1 W 2-2 D
SSK Bilovec 1-0 W 1-1 D
Bridlicna 4-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hlucin (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hlucin

WWWWWLDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Opava B
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 3-1 72 W
16/10 Kravare
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 0-0 136 D
10/10 Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Czechia 4. Liga
0-2 0-3 59 L
02/10 TJ Novy Jicin
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 1-1 86 D
26/09 SK Stonava
Czechia 4. Liga
0-4 1-4 –– L
18/09 Pusta Polom
Czechia 4. Liga
3-1 4-1 102 W
12/09 TJ Valasske Mezirici
Czechia 4. Liga
2-1 5-2 –– W
04/09 SSK Bilovec
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 1-0 64 W
29/08 Frydek Mistek B
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 2-1 54 W
21/08 Bridlicna
Czechia 4. Liga
2-0 4-0 72 W

FK Sumperk

LWLLLLDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Kravare
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 1-1 65 D
18/10 TJ Novy Jicin
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 0-0 54 D
11/10 Pusta Polom
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 2-2 55 D
04/10 SSK Bilovec
Czechia 4. Liga
1-1 1-1 –– D
27/09 Bridlicna
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 1-2 –– L
20/09 FK Bohumin
Czechia 4. Liga
1-2 1-3 –– L
13/09 SK Zabreh
Czechia 4. Liga
0-0 0-1 49 L
05/09 Opava B
Czechia 4. Liga
1-0 1-2 –– L
29/08 Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Czechia 4. Liga
2-1 5-1 93 W
23/08 SK Stonava
Czechia 4. Liga
0-1 0-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hlucin vs FK Sumperk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hlucin win (61%). Probabilities: Hlucin 61%, draw 21%, FK Sumperk 18%.

How many goals are expected in Hlucin vs FK Sumperk?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Hlucin 2.14 · FK Sumperk 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hlucin vs FK Sumperk?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.