Prediction: Rugby Borough (W) vs Loughborough Lightning (W)
Team pages: Rugby Borough (W) · Loughborough Lightning (W)
- Rugby Borough (W)2-0Loughborough Lightning (W)
- Loughborough Lightning (W)0-2Rugby Borough (W)
- Loughborough Lightning (W)1-2Rugby Borough (W)
| Rugby Borough (W) | Draw | Loughborough Lightning (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 85% | 9% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rugby Borough (W) (rating 1582 vs 1469).
- H2H favours Rugby Borough (W): 3-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rugby Borough (W) | Loughborough Lightning (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rugby Borough (W) 3–0–0 Loughborough Lightning (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 England National League Premier Women | Rugby Borough (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Loughborough Lightning (W) |
| 14/09/25 England National League Premier Women | Loughborough Lightning (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rugby Borough (W) |
| 21/08/25 England FA National League Cup Women | Loughborough Lightning (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Rugby Borough (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rugby Borough (W) | Loughborough Lightning (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Middlesbrough (W) | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Liverpool Feds (W) | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Wolverhampton (W) | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Sporting Khalsa (W) | 2-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rugby Borough (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rugby Borough (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Stoke (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Boldmere St Michaels (W) England National League Premier Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | Middlesbrough (W) England National League Premier Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Derby (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Liverpool Feds (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 02/04 | Wolverhampton (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/03 | Sporting Khalsa (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 08/03 | Burnley (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/02 | West Brom (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | Middlesbrough (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
Loughborough Lightning (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Liverpool Feds (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | Norwich (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Stoke (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Huddersfield (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Sporting Khalsa (W) England National League Premier Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Halifax (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/03 | Stoke (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Wolverhampton (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | Middlesbrough (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 24/02 | Hull (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rugby Borough (W) vs Loughborough Lightning (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rugby Borough (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Rugby Borough (W) 82%, draw 12%, Loughborough Lightning (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Rugby Borough (W) vs Loughborough Lightning (W)?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Rugby Borough (W) 2.81 · Loughborough Lightning (W) 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rugby Borough (W) vs Loughborough Lightning (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.