Football · England National League Premier Women · 28/10, 20:45
Prediction: Middlesbrough (W) vs Hull (W)
Team pages: Middlesbrough (W) · Hull (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Middlesbrough (W)1.89
Hull (W)1.08
1X2
Middlesbrough (W)
Draw
Hull (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Middlesbrough (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Hull (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Middlesbrough (W)
1–4–1
Hull (W)
(6 last)
- Hull (W)2-2Middlesbrough (W)
- Hull (W)0-0Middlesbrough (W)
- Middlesbrough (W)2-0Hull (W)
- Hull (W)4-1Middlesbrough (W)
- Hull (W)1-1Middlesbrough (W)
- Hull (W)0-0Middlesbrough (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Middlesbrough (W) 1491 · Hull (W) 1396
| Middlesbrough (W) | Draw | Hull (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Middlesbrough (W) (rating 1491 vs 1396).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Middlesbrough (W) | Hull (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 1.5 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Middlesbrough (W) 1–4–1 Hull (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 England National League Premier Women | Hull (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Middlesbrough (W) |
| 01/12/24 England FA Cup Women | Hull (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Middlesbrough (W) |
| 07/01/24 England National League Division 1 Women | Middlesbrough (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hull (W) |
| 03/09/23 England National League Women | Hull (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Middlesbrough (W) |
| 12/02/23 England National League Women | Hull (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Middlesbrough (W) |
| 30/01/22 England FA Premier Women | Hull (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Middlesbrough (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Middlesbrough (W) | Hull (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Norwich (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Derby (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| West Brom (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sporting Khalsa (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Liverpool Feds (W) | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Loughborough Lightning (W) | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Middlesbrough (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Middlesbrough (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Huddersfield (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/10 | Norwich (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Peterborough (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Rugby Borough (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Derby (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/08 | West Brom (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Sporting Khalsa (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | Liverpool Feds (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 22/03 | Hull (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | Loughborough Lightning (W) England National League Premier Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Hull (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Huddersfield (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Stoke (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Liverpool Feds (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Norwich (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Burnley (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Derby (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Middlesbrough (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | West Brom (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 08/03 | Sporting Khalsa (W) England National League Premier Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/02 | Loughborough Lightning (W) England National League Premier Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Middlesbrough (W) vs Hull (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Middlesbrough (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Middlesbrough (W) 56%, draw 23%, Hull (W) 21%.
How many goals are expected in Middlesbrough (W) vs Hull (W)?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Middlesbrough (W) 1.89 · Hull (W) 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough (W) vs Hull (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.