Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 27/10, 20:45
Prediction: Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC
Team pages: Bray Wanderers · Kerry FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Bray Wanderers1.74
Kerry FC1.21
1X2
Bray Wanderers
Draw
Kerry FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Bray Wanderers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Kerry FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bray Wanderers
4–1–1
Kerry FC
(6 last)
- Kerry FC1-2Bray Wanderers
- Kerry FC0-1Bray Wanderers
- Bray Wanderers0-4Kerry FC
- Kerry FC2-2Bray Wanderers
- Bray Wanderers2-1Kerry FC
- Bray Wanderers5-1Kerry FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bray Wanderers 1498 · Kerry FC 1514
| Bray Wanderers | Draw | Kerry FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bray Wanderers | Kerry FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 2.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bray Wanderers 4–1–1 Kerry FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Bray Wanderers |
| 11/09/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bray Wanderers |
| 31/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 22/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Bray Wanderers |
| 27/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 17/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Kerry FC |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 67 | 51 | 56 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 67 | 53 | 54 |
| 4 | Kerry FC | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 52 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 58 | 42 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 53 | 42 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 70 | 28 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bray Wanderers | Kerry FC |
|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Wexford FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Cobh Ramblers | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| UCD | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Treaty United FC | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Cork City | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Athlone Town | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Longford Town | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kerry FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/10 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/10 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 02/10 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 18/09 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
Kerry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/10 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/10 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/10 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bray Wanderers win (49%). Probabilities: Bray Wanderers 49%, draw 25%, Kerry FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Bray Wanderers 1.74 · Kerry FC 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.