Football · Republic of Ireland First Division · 24/10, 20:45
Prediction: Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers
Team pages: Kerry FC · Bray Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Kerry FC1.4
Bray Wanderers1.49
1X2
Kerry FC
Draw
Bray Wanderers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kerry FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Bray Wanderers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kerry FC
2–1–3
Bray Wanderers
(6 last)
- Kerry FC0-1Bray Wanderers
- Bray Wanderers0-4Kerry FC
- Kerry FC2-2Bray Wanderers
- Bray Wanderers2-1Kerry FC
- Bray Wanderers5-1Kerry FC
- Kerry FC2-1Bray Wanderers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kerry FC 1523 · Bray Wanderers 1489
| Kerry FC | Draw | Bray Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Bray Wanderers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kerry FC | Bray Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.4 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kerry FC 2–1–3 Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bray Wanderers |
| 31/07/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 22/05/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Bray Wanderers |
| 27/03/26 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kerry FC |
| 17/10/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Bray Wanderers | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Kerry FC |
| 20/06/25 Republic of Ireland First Division | Kerry FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bray Wanderers |
Standings · Republic of Ireland First Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 67 | 51 | 56 |
| 3 | Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 67 | 53 | 54 |
| 4 | Kerry FC | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 52 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford FC | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 58 | 42 |
| 9 | Treaty United FC | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 53 | 42 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 70 | 28 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kerry FC | Bray Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Cork City | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cobh Ramblers | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Finn Harps | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Wexford FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Athlone Town | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Longford Town | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Treaty United FC | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| UCD | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kerry FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kerry FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 09/10 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/10 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/09 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Bray Wanderers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Bray Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/10 | Wexford FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 02/10 | Cobh Ramblers Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/09 | UCD Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 18/09 | Treaty United FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | Kerry FC Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Cork City Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Athlone Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Longford Town Republic of Ireland First Division |
1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Finn Harps Republic of Ireland First Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bray Wanderers win (38%). Probabilities: Kerry FC 34%, draw 27%, Bray Wanderers 38%.
How many goals are expected in Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Kerry FC 1.4 · Bray Wanderers 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.