Football · Burkina Faso League · 25/10, 16:30

Prediction: ASF Bolo Dioulasso vs Vitesse FC

Team pages: ASF Bolo Dioulasso · Vitesse FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

ASF Bolo Dioulasso1.13

Vitesse FC1.09

1X2

35% 32% 33%

ASF Bolo Dioulasso Draw Vitesse FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

ASF Bolo Dioulasso 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLLW

Vitesse FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWWDW

Head-to-head

ASF Bolo Dioulasso 2–3–1 Vitesse FC (6 last)

ASF Bolo Dioulasso0-0Vitesse FC
ASF Bolo Dioulasso0-0Vitesse FC
Vitesse FC0-1ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASF Bolo Dioulasso1-2Vitesse FC
Vitesse FC0-0ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASF Bolo Dioulasso3-1Vitesse FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 1463 · Vitesse FC 1550

	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	Draw	Vitesse FC
Our model	35%	32%	33%
Market	35%	33%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitesse FC (rating 1463 vs 1550).
H2H favours ASF Bolo Dioulasso: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	Vitesse FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.1	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.60

X2.75

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.82

Under 1.751.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:57 +8’	2.60	2.75	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 2–3–1 Vitesse FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/12/25 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	0-0 HT 0-0	Vitesse FC
07/04/25 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	0-0 HT 0-0	Vitesse FC
03/04/25 Burkina Faso Cup	Vitesse FC	0-1 HT 0-1	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
23/03/22 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	1-2 HT 1-1	Vitesse FC
28/11/21 Burkina Faso League	Vitesse FC	0-0 HT 0-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
06/12/20 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	3-1 HT 1-1	Vitesse FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	Vitesse FC
US Comoe	4-2 W	0-0 D
Majestic FC	0-1 L	3-1 W
ASFA-Yennenga	0-2 L	1-0 W
Salitas FC	2-2 D	3-1 W
Sonabel	0-2 L	1-0 W
Real du Faso	0-2 L	2-1 W
Etoile Filante Ouagadougou	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vitesse FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASF Bolo Dioulasso

LLWLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	US Comoe Burkina Faso League	2-1	4-2	2	4	W
09/10	Majestic FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
03/10	ASFA-Yennenga Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
27/09	RC Kadiogo Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
20/09	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
03/05	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
26/04	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
18/04	Etoile Filante Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/04	RC Bobo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
03/04	ASFA-Yennenga Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-3	0	2	L

Vitesse FC

WWLWWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
11/10	US Comoe Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
03/10	Majestic FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
28/09	ASFA-Yennenga Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/05	CFFEB Burkina Faso League	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
26/04	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	3-1	3-1	5	5	W
18/04	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	2-1	2-1	7	6	W
10/04	AS Douanes Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
04/04	AJEB FC Burkina Faso League	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
21/03	Etoile Filante Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASF Bolo Dioulasso vs Vitesse FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASF Bolo Dioulasso win (35%). Probabilities: ASF Bolo Dioulasso 35%, draw 32%, Vitesse FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in ASF Bolo Dioulasso vs Vitesse FC?

The model expects 2.22 goals (ASF Bolo Dioulasso 1.13 · Vitesse FC 1.09), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ASF Bolo Dioulasso vs Vitesse FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.