Football · Burkina Faso League · 23/10, 17:30

Prediction: AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs RC Kadiogo

Team pages: AS Douanes Ouagadougou · RC Kadiogo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

AS Douanes Ouagadougou1.23

RC Kadiogo0.77

1X2

47% 31% 22%

AS Douanes Ouagadougou Draw RC Kadiogo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

AS Douanes Ouagadougou 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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RC Kadiogo 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AS Douanes Ouagadougou 1–5–0 RC Kadiogo (6 last)

RC Kadiogo1-3AS Douanes Ouagadougou
AS Douanes Ouagadougou0-0RC Kadiogo
AS Douanes Ouagadougou0-0RC Kadiogo
RC Kadiogo2-2AS Douanes Ouagadougou
AS Douanes Ouagadougou0-0RC Kadiogo
RC Kadiogo1-1AS Douanes Ouagadougou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Douanes Ouagadougou 1549 · RC Kadiogo 1468

	AS Douanes Ouagadougou	Draw	RC Kadiogo
Our model	46%	32%	22%
Market	47%	30%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AS Douanes Ouagadougou (rating 1549 vs 1468).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AS Douanes Ouagadougou	RC Kadiogo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	0.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.9	2 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.00

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.90▲	Pinn 2.14 ★
X	3.20 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00
2	4.75 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:41 +22’	1.70	3.20	4.75
08:59 +4’	1.90▲	3.00▼	3.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:28 +35’	2.12	2.74	3.47
15:32 +7’	2.14▲	2.78▲	3.52▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Douanes Ouagadougou 1–5–0 RC Kadiogo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 Burkina Faso League	RC Kadiogo	1-3 HT 1-2	AS Douanes Ouagadougou
06/12/25 Burkina Faso League	AS Douanes Ouagadougou	0-0 HT 0-0	RC Kadiogo
09/03/25 Burkina Faso League	AS Douanes Ouagadougou	0-0 HT 0-0	RC Kadiogo
05/02/23 Burkina Faso League	RC Kadiogo	2-2 HT 0-1	AS Douanes Ouagadougou
04/12/22 Burkina Faso League	AS Douanes Ouagadougou	0-0 HT 0-0	RC Kadiogo
05/08/22 Burkina Faso Cup	RC Kadiogo	1-1 HT 0-1	AS Douanes Ouagadougou

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AS Douanes Ouagadougou	RC Kadiogo
Salitas FC	4-1 W	4-1 W
Sonabel	2-1 W	0-0 D
Etoile Filante Ouagadougou	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Douanes Ouagadougou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	4-1	4	3	W
12/10	AS Maya Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
03/10	Rahimo FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
27/09	Sporting Cascades Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
03/05	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
26/04	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	2-0	2-1	0	9	W
17/04	AJEB FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-1	5	10	D
10/04	Vitesse FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
04/04	Etoile Filante Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
22/03	ASFA-Yennenga Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

RC Kadiogo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CFFEB Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-0	3	0	D
12/10	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/10	US Forces Armees Burkina Faso League	0-2	0-2	1	2	L
27/09	ASF Bolo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
03/05	US Forces Armees Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
19/04	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	3-0	4-1	4	7	W
04/04	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/03	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
14/03	CFFEB Burkina Faso League	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/03	Etoile Filante Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs RC Kadiogo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Douanes Ouagadougou win (47%). Probabilities: AS Douanes Ouagadougou 47%, draw 31%, RC Kadiogo 22%.

How many goals are expected in AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs RC Kadiogo?

The model expects 2 goals (AS Douanes Ouagadougou 1.23 · RC Kadiogo 0.77), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs RC Kadiogo?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.