Football · Burkina Faso League · 31/10, 16:30

Prediction: Sonabel vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Team pages: Sonabel · ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Sonabel1.34

ASF Bolo Dioulasso1.01

1X2

43% 31% 27%

Sonabel Draw ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sonabel 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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ASF Bolo Dioulasso 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sonabel 3–1–2 ASF Bolo Dioulasso (6 last)

Sonabel2-0ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASF Bolo Dioulasso1-0Sonabel
Sonabel1-0ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Sonabel0-0ASF Bolo Dioulasso
ASF Bolo Dioulasso3-0Sonabel
Sonabel1-0ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sonabel 1517 · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 1464

	Sonabel	Draw	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Our model	43%	30%	27%
Market	43%	31%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonabel (rating 1517 vs 1464).
H2H favours Sonabel: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sonabel	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X2.90

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:09 +8’	2.10	2.90	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonabel 3–1–2 ASF Bolo Dioulasso

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Burkina Faso League	Sonabel	2-0 HT 2-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
27/09/25 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	1-0 HT 1-0	Sonabel
11/04/25 Burkina Faso League	Sonabel	1-0 HT 1-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
17/02/23 Burkina Faso League	Sonabel	0-0 HT 0-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
09/04/22 Burkina Faso League	ASF Bolo Dioulasso	3-0 HT 1-0	Sonabel
07/11/21 Burkina Faso League	Sonabel	1-0 HT 1-0	ASF Bolo Dioulasso

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sonabel	ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Vitesse FC	0-1 L	0-2 L
US Comoe	2-0 W	4-2 W
RC Bobo Dioulasso	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sonabel (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sonabel

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rahimo FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
18/10	Vitesse FC Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
10/10	Sporting Cascades Burkina Faso League	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
05/10	US Comoe Burkina Faso League	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
26/09	FocuSport FC Burkina Faso League	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
16/05	KOZAF Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
03/05	ASF Bolo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/04	AS Douanes Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	0-2	1-2	5	9	L
18/04	RC Bobo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
12/04	CFFEB Burkina Faso League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

ASF Bolo Dioulasso

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Vitesse FC Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
17/10	US Comoe Burkina Faso League	2-1	4-2	2	4	W
09/10	Majestic FC Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
03/10	ASFA-Yennenga Burkina Faso League	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
27/09	RC Kadiogo Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
20/09	Salitas FC Burkina Faso League	1-0	2-2	6	3	D
03/05	Sonabel Burkina Faso League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
26/04	Real du Faso Burkina Faso League	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
18/04	Etoile Filante Ouagadougou Burkina Faso League	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
11/04	RC Bobo Dioulasso Burkina Faso League	0-0	1-2	3	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sonabel vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sonabel win (43%). Probabilities: Sonabel 43%, draw 31%, ASF Bolo Dioulasso 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sonabel vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Sonabel 1.34 · ASF Bolo Dioulasso 1.01), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sonabel vs ASF Bolo Dioulasso?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.