Football · Myanmar National League · 24/10, 11:00
Prediction: Yangon United FC vs Mahar United
Team pages: Yangon United FC · Mahar United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Yangon United FC2.64
Mahar United0.97
1X2
Yangon United FC
Draw
Mahar United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Yangon United FC
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Mahar United
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yangon United FC
5–1–0
Mahar United
(6 last)
- Yangon United FC2-0Mahar United
- Mahar United0-2Yangon United FC
- Yangon United FC4-0Mahar United
- Mahar United2-6Yangon United FC
- Mahar United2-2Yangon United FC
- Yangon United FC1-0Mahar United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yangon United FC 1585 · Mahar United 1464
| Yangon United FC | Draw | Mahar United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 73% | 16% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yangon United FC (rating 1585 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Yangon United FC: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yangon United FC | Mahar United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/56/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7 | 2.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yangon United FC 5–1–0 Mahar United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Myanmar National League | Yangon United FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Mahar United |
| 25/02/26 Myanmar National League | Mahar United | 0-2 | Yangon United FC |
| 06/01/26 Myanmar National League | Yangon United FC | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Mahar United |
| 16/05/25 Myanmar Cup | Mahar United | 2-6 HT 2-4 | Yangon United FC |
| 11/01/25 Myanmar National League | Mahar United | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Yangon United FC |
| 27/07/24 Myanmar National League | Yangon United FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Mahar United |
Standings · Myanmar National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangon City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Dagon Star United FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Yadanarbon FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Shan Utd | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Yangon United FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Thitsar Arman FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 7 | Ispe FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 8 | Hantharwady United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Mahar United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 10 | Ayeyawady Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
| 11 | Chinland FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 12 | Myawady FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yangon United FC | Mahar United |
|---|---|---|
| Chinland FC | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Dagon Star United FC | 4-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Hantharwady United | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shan Utd | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Yangon United FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yangon United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Yangon City Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Chinland FC Myanmar National League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/03 | Dagon Star United FC Myanmar National League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/03 | Yadanarbon FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/03 | Hantharwady United Myanmar National League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/02 | Mahar United Myanmar National League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/02 | Shan Utd Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/02 | Thitsar Arman FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 04/02 | Yarmanya United FC Myanmar National League |
1-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Mahar United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Dagon Star United FC Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/10 | Chinland FC Myanmar National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 07/09 | Ispe FC Myanmar National League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Yangon United FC Myanmar National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 17/03 | Ayeyawady Utd Myanmar National League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/03 | Shan Utd Myanmar National League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/03 | Dagon Star United FC Myanmar National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 25/02 | Yangon United FC Myanmar National League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/02 | Hantharwady United Myanmar National League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/02 | Rakhine United Myanmar National League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yangon United FC vs Mahar United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yangon United FC win (73%). Probabilities: Yangon United FC 73%, draw 16%, Mahar United 11%.
How many goals are expected in Yangon United FC vs Mahar United?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Yangon United FC 2.64 · Mahar United 0.97), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Yangon United FC vs Mahar United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.