Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 25/10, 20:00

Prediction: Bolivar SC vs Deportivo Miranda FC

Team pages: Bolivar SC · Deportivo Miranda FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Bolivar SC1.5

Deportivo Miranda FC1.26

1X2

41% 28% 30%

Bolivar SC Draw Deportivo Miranda FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bolivar SC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo Miranda FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Bolivar SC 2–4 Deportivo Miranda FC (6 last)

Deportivo Miranda FC1-2Bolivar SC
Bolivar SC2-0Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC1-0Bolivar SC
Deportivo Miranda FC3-2Bolivar SC
Bolivar SC0-2Deportivo Miranda FC
Deportivo Miranda FC2-0Bolivar SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bolivar SC 1548 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1494

	Bolivar SC	Draw	Deportivo Miranda FC
Our model	42%	28%	31%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar SC (rating 1548 vs 1494).
H2H favours Deportivo Miranda FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bolivar SC	Deportivo Miranda FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.2	6.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +10’	2.20	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar SC 2–0–4 Deportivo Miranda FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Bolivar SC
06/06/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Miranda FC
12/04/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Bolivar SC
04/10/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	3-2 HT 0-0	Bolivar SC
24/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Bolivar SC	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Miranda FC
29/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Deportivo Miranda FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Bolivar SC

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	27	16	6	5	45	26	54
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	27	14	5	8	39	24	47
3	Aragua	27	12	10	5	34	19	46
4	Bolivar SC	27	14	4	9	37	31	46
5	Dynamo Puerto FC	28	10	9	9	37	32	39
6	Mineros	27	6	9	12	32	36	27
7	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	28	5	5	18	16	55	20
8	Atletico Avila	27	3	10	14	18	35	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bolivar SC	Deportivo Miranda FC
Atletico Avila	3-2 W	4-0 W
Monagas II	2-1 W	0-1 L
Dynamo Puerto FC	1-2 L	4-2 W
Aragua	1-1 D	1-2 L
Mineros	1-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Miranda FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bolivar SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	3-2	2	7	W
04/10	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-1	5	9	W
27/09	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-2	1	9	L
20/09	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
13/09	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-3	1-4	3	6	L
06/09	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
30/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
16/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	3-2	4	6	W
09/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
01/08	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Deportivo Miranda FC

WWWDLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
11/10	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	4-2	4	8	W
04/10	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-2	2-3	4	5	L
20/09	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
13/09	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
06/09	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	8	7	L
30/08	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
23/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	3-1	0	7	W
16/08	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	4-3	4	9	W
02/08	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	12	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bolivar SC vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bolivar SC win (41%). Probabilities: Bolivar SC 41%, draw 28%, Deportivo Miranda FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Bolivar SC vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Bolivar SC 1.5 · Deportivo Miranda FC 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bolivar SC vs Deportivo Miranda FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.