Football · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · 29/10, 02:00

Prediction: CD Marte Soyapango vs AD Izalco

Team pages: CD Marte Soyapango · AD Izalco

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

CD Marte Soyapango1.59

AD Izalco1.56

1X2

38% 26% 36%

CD Marte Soyapango Draw AD Izalco

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Marte Soyapango 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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AD Izalco 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Marte Soyapango 0–1 AD Izalco (1 last)

AD Izalco3-1CD Marte Soyapango

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Marte Soyapango 1536 · AD Izalco 1543

	CD Marte Soyapango	Draw	AD Izalco
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Marte Soyapango	AD Izalco
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.5	3.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.5	3.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:35 +17’	2.40	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Marte Soyapango 0–0–1 AD Izalco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 El Salvador Segunda Division	AD Izalco	3-1	CD Marte Soyapango

Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Once Municipal	15	9	3	3	36	23	30
2	AD Izalco	14	9	2	3	26	18	29
3	UES	13	7	4	2	25	18	25
4	CD El Roble	13	7	3	3	16	9	24
5	Once Lobos Chalchuapa	15	6	4	5	21	21	22
6	CD Marte Soyapango	14	6	3	5	24	19	21
7	Nacional FC de Sonsonate	15	6	3	6	16	14	21
8	CD Adet Aruba	15	4	5	6	15	15	17
9	AD Academia BP	16	4	4	8	24	38	16
10	AD Forfut	14	4	3	7	24	26	15
11	CD Vendaval	15	2	4	9	12	29	10
12	CD Fuerte Aguilares	15	1	6	8	15	24	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Marte Soyapango	AD Izalco
CD Vendaval	2-2 D	2-1 W
AD Forfut	3-0 W	4-2 W
CD Fuerte Aguilares	4-1 W	2-0 W
AD Academia BP	3-0 W	5-3 W
CD El Roble	0-1 L	0-2 L
CD Adet Aruba	0-0 D	0-2 L
Nacional FC de Sonsonate	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Marte Soyapango (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Marte Soyapango

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CD Vendaval El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	2-2	7	3	D
15/10	AD Forfut El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
11/10	CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	4-1	–	–	W
04/10	AD Academia BP El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/10	CD El Roble El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/09	CD Adet Aruba El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/09	Nacional FC de Sonsonate El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-0	–	–	W
21/09	Once Lobos Chalchuapa El Salvador Segunda Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
16/09	AD Izalco El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	CD Vendaval El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

AD Izalco

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	AD Academia BP El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	2-2	5-3	3	5	W
21/10	CD El Roble El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
17/10	CD Adet Aruba El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/10	Nacional FC de Sonsonate El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	Once Municipal El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	CD Vendaval El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
25/09	AD Forfut El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	4-2	–	–	W
22/09	UES El Salvador Segunda Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/09	CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Segunda Division	2-0	2-0	9	5	W
16/09	CD Marte Soyapango El Salvador Segunda Division	–	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Marte Soyapango vs AD Izalco?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Marte Soyapango win (38%). Probabilities: CD Marte Soyapango 38%, draw 26%, AD Izalco 36%.

How many goals are expected in CD Marte Soyapango vs AD Izalco?

The model expects 3.15 goals (CD Marte Soyapango 1.59 · AD Izalco 1.56), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Marte Soyapango vs AD Izalco?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.