Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 23/10, 13:00

Prediction: FC Merani Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 II

Team pages: FC Merani Tbilisi · FC Iberia 1999 II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

FC Merani Tbilisi1.63

FC Iberia 1999 II1.45

1X2

41% 26% 33%

FC Merani Tbilisi Draw FC Iberia 1999 II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Merani Tbilisi 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Iberia 1999 II 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Merani Tbilisi 0–2–1 FC Iberia 1999 II (3 last)

FC Iberia 1999 II1-0FC Merani Tbilisi
FC Merani Tbilisi3-3FC Iberia 1999 II
FC Iberia 1999 II1-1FC Merani Tbilisi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Merani Tbilisi 1526 · FC Iberia 1999 II 1542

	FC Merani Tbilisi	Draw	FC Iberia 1999 II
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Merani Tbilisi	FC Iberia 1999 II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:59 +5’	2.20	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Merani Tbilisi 0–2–1 FC Iberia 1999 II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Georgia Liga 3	FC Iberia 1999 II	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Merani Tbilisi
10/10/24 Georgia Liga 3	FC Merani Tbilisi	3-3 HT 2-1	FC Iberia 1999 II
18/04/24 Georgia Liga 3	FC Iberia 1999 II	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Merani Tbilisi

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Merani Tbilisi	FC Iberia 1999 II
Lokomotiv Tbilisi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Iveria Khashuri	2-2 D	1-0 W
FC Iberia 2010	2-2 D	2-0 W
Kolkheti	4-1 W	3-0 W
Guria Lanchkhuti	0-5 L	0-2 L
FC Didube 2014	2-2 D	4-4 D
FC Orbi	1-1 D	3-3 D
Wit Georgia	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Iberia 1999 II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Merani Tbilisi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/10	Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3	1-2	2-2	10	5	D
17/09	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-2	11	3	D
10/09	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	2-0	4-1	8	0	W
03/09	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
27/08	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	1-0	4-1	4	5	W
13/08	Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
06/08	FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
21/06	FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
14/06	Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

FC Iberia 1999 II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3	1-1	4-4	5	6	D
09/10	FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	3-3	8	4	D
17/09	Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
03/09	Dinamo Tbilisi II Georgia Liga 3	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
28/08	FC Gonio Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
21/08	Guria Lanchkhuti Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-2	6	6	L
13/08	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/08	Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
21/06	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	2-0	2-0	3	1	W
15/06	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	1-0	3-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Merani Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Merani Tbilisi win (41%). Probabilities: FC Merani Tbilisi 41%, draw 26%, FC Iberia 1999 II 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Merani Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 II?

The model expects 3.08 goals (FC Merani Tbilisi 1.63 · FC Iberia 1999 II 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Merani Tbilisi vs FC Iberia 1999 II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.