Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 30/10, 12:00

Prediction: Guria Lanchkhuti vs Wit Georgia

Team pages: Guria Lanchkhuti · Wit Georgia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Guria Lanchkhuti2.37

Wit Georgia0.75

1X2

73% 17% 10%

Guria Lanchkhuti Draw Wit Georgia

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Guria Lanchkhuti 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Wit Georgia 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Guria Lanchkhuti 1–2–3 Wit Georgia (6 last)

Wit Georgia1-0Guria Lanchkhuti
Wit Georgia1-0Guria Lanchkhuti
Guria Lanchkhuti0-1Wit Georgia
Wit Georgia0-0Guria Lanchkhuti
Guria Lanchkhuti0-0Wit Georgia
Guria Lanchkhuti4-1Wit Georgia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guria Lanchkhuti 1576 · Wit Georgia 1492

	Guria Lanchkhuti	Draw	Wit Georgia
Our model	73%	18%	9%
Market	74%	16%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guria Lanchkhuti (rating 1576 vs 1492).
H2H favours Wit Georgia: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guria Lanchkhuti	Wit Georgia
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.4	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.7	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.50

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:52 +13’	1.22	5.50	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guria Lanchkhuti 1–2–3 Wit Georgia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Georgia Liga 3	Wit Georgia	1-0 HT 0-0	Guria Lanchkhuti
25/11/17 Georgia First League	Wit Georgia	1-0 HT 0-0	Guria Lanchkhuti
22/09/17 Georgia First League	Guria Lanchkhuti	0-1 HT 0-1	Wit Georgia
22/06/17 Georgia First League	Wit Georgia	0-0 HT 0-0	Guria Lanchkhuti
30/04/17 Georgia First League	Guria Lanchkhuti	0-0	Wit Georgia
03/04/15 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Guria Lanchkhuti	4-1 HT 3-1	Wit Georgia

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guria Lanchkhuti	Wit Georgia
Kolkheti	2-2 D	2-3 L
FC Tbilisi 2025	0-0 D	1-2 L
FC Margveti 2006	4-0 W	1-1 D
Dinamo Tbilisi II	2-0 W	1-3 L
Gardabani	5-0 W	5-0 W
FC Iberia 1999 II	2-0 W	0-3 L
FC Merani Tbilisi	5-0 W	0-1 L
Lokomotiv Tbilisi	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Guria Lanchkhuti (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guria Lanchkhuti

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-2	8	2	D
16/10	FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
09/10	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	2-0	4-0	2	5	W
17/09	Dinamo Tbilisi II Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-0	11	5	W
10/09	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	3-0	5-0	3	2	W
27/08	Betlemi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	5-0	6	3	W
21/08	FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
13/08	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	3-0	5-0	3	4	W
06/08	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
21/06	FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-1	6	8	W

Wit Georgia

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3	1-2	1-2	2	1	L
16/10	Dinamo Tbilisi II Georgia Liga 3	1-1	1-3	11	4	L
08/10	FC Gonio Georgia Liga 3	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
17/09	FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
09/09	Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
26/08	FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
20/08	Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
12/08	FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
06/08	Gardabani Georgia Liga 3	1-0	5-0	5	3	W
14/06	FC Merani Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Wit Georgia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guria Lanchkhuti win (73%). Probabilities: Guria Lanchkhuti 73%, draw 17%, Wit Georgia 10%.

How many goals are expected in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Wit Georgia?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Guria Lanchkhuti 2.37 · Wit Georgia 0.75), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Guria Lanchkhuti vs Wit Georgia?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.