Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 30/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Gonio vs FC Merani Tbilisi

Team pages: FC Gonio · FC Merani Tbilisi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
FC Gonio1.78
FC Merani Tbilisi1.4
1X2
46% 24% 30%
FC Gonio Draw FC Merani Tbilisi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Gonio 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDLDWLW
FC Merani Tbilisi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWDDWL
Head-to-head
FC Gonio 1–1–0 FC Merani Tbilisi (2 last)
  • FC Merani Tbilisi1-1FC Gonio
  • FC Merani Tbilisi0-3FC Gonio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Gonio 1545 · FC Merani Tbilisi 1508
FC GonioDrawFC Merani Tbilisi
Our model45%25%29%
Market46%24%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC GonioFC Merani Tbilisi
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.91.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.12.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.13.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Gonio 1–1–0 FC Merani Tbilisi

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/05/26
Georgia Liga 3
FC Merani Tbilisi1-1
HT 0-0
FC Gonio
05/06/24
Georgia Liga 3
FC Merani Tbilisi0-3
HT 0-1
FC Gonio

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC GonioFC Merani Tbilisi
FC Orbi 1-0 W 1-1 D
FC Iberia 1999 II 2-2 D 0-4 L
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0-4 L 2-1 W
Iveria Khashuri 1-1 D 2-2 D
FC Iberia 2010 2-0 W 2-2 D
FC Margveti 2006 4-0 W 2-0 W
Gardabani 6-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gonio (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Gonio

WWWWDLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 34 W
08/10 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-2 66 L
17/09 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 26 W
28/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-2 75 D
20/08 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 60 L
13/08 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 136 D
06/08 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 34 W
15/06 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 22 W
28/05 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 6-0 –– W
21/05 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 45 W

FC Merani Tbilisi

DDLWWWDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 43 L
16/10 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-1 25 W
09/10 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
1-2 2-2 105 D
17/09 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-2 113 D
10/09 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-1 80 W
03/09 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-0 23 W
27/08 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 4-1 45 W
13/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 0-5 14 L
06/08 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-2 37 D
21/06 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 76 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Gonio vs FC Merani Tbilisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Gonio win (46%). Probabilities: FC Gonio 46%, draw 24%, FC Merani Tbilisi 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Gonio vs FC Merani Tbilisi?

The model expects 3.18 goals (FC Gonio 1.78 · FC Merani Tbilisi 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Gonio vs FC Merani Tbilisi?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.