Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 22/10, 12:00

Prediction: Betlemi vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Team pages: Betlemi · Lokomotiv Tbilisi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Betlemi0.78
Lokomotiv Tbilisi2.58
1X2
9% 14% 76%
Betlemi Draw Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Betlemi 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LWLLDLLLLL
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWDDLWWL
Head-to-head
Betlemi 0–2 Lokomotiv Tbilisi (2 last)
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-0Betlemi
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi5-0Betlemi
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Betlemi 1405 · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1551
BetlemiDrawLokomotiv Tbilisi
Our model8%16%75%
Market10%13%77%
Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Tbilisi (rating 1405 vs 1551).
  • H2H favours Lokomotiv Tbilisi: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BetlemiLokomotiv Tbilisi
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 3.91.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 2.10.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.22.8 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.23.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Betlemi 0–0–2 Lokomotiv Tbilisi

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/05/26
Georgia Liga 3
Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-0
HT 0-0
Betlemi
01/05/14
Georgia First League
Lokomotiv Tbilisi5-0Betlemi

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBetlemiLokomotiv Tbilisi
Iveria Khashuri 0-8 L 0-0 D
Guria Lanchkhuti 0-5 L 1-0 W
FC Didube 2014 0-5 L 3-1 W
FC Tbilisi 2025 1-7 L 3-3 D
FC Gonio 0-3 L 4-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Tbilisi (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Betlemi

LWLLDLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-5 0-8 02 L
10/09 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-4 0-5 53 L
27/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-5 03 L
13/08 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
0-4 0-5 –– L
15/06 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 1-7 02 L
02/06 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-2 121 D
21/05 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-3 25 L
07/05 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 57 L
29/04 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 22 W
16/04 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 1-3 34 L

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

DWDWDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-2 35 L
09/10 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 3-1 42 W
17/09 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 2-0 911 W
09/09 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-2 53 L
03/09 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 3-3 73 D
27/08 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 78 D
20/08 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 100 W
13/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 25 D
06/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 00 W
21/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 113 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Betlemi vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lokomotiv Tbilisi win (76%). Probabilities: Betlemi 9%, draw 14%, Lokomotiv Tbilisi 76%.

How many goals are expected in Betlemi vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Betlemi 0.78 · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 2.58), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Betlemi vs Lokomotiv Tbilisi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.