Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 24/10, 19:45
Prediction: FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar
Team pages: FK Sarajevo · Zeljeznicar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
FK Sarajevo1.46
Zeljeznicar0.57
1X2
FK Sarajevo
Draw
Zeljeznicar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Sarajevo
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Zeljeznicar
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Sarajevo
3–1–2
Zeljeznicar
(6 last)
- Zeljeznicar2-0FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo1-0Zeljeznicar
- Zeljeznicar0-0FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo4-0Zeljeznicar
- Zeljeznicar2-0FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo2-1Zeljeznicar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Sarajevo 1545 · Zeljeznicar 1481
| FK Sarajevo | Draw | Zeljeznicar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 29% | 13% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Sarajevo (rating 1545 vs 1481).
- H2H favours FK Sarajevo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sarajevo 3–1–2 Zeljeznicar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 25/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zeljeznicar |
| 04/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 07/12/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Zeljeznicar |
| 27/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 27/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Zeljeznicar |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 27 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | BSK Banja Luka | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 8 | FK Sloga Doboj | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
| 10 | Velez Mostar | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar |
|---|---|---|
| Radnik Bijeljina | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| NK Celik Zenica | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Velez Mostar | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Siroki Brijeg | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| BSK Banja Luka | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Sarajevo (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
Zeljeznicar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 09/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/09 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 23/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Sarajevo win (59%). Probabilities: FK Sarajevo 59%, draw 26%, Zeljeznicar 15%.
How many goals are expected in FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar?
The model expects 2.03 goals (FK Sarajevo 1.46 · Zeljeznicar 0.57), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.