Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 25/10, 20:00
Prediction: Velez Mostar vs BSK Banja Luka
Team pages: Velez Mostar · BSK Banja Luka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Velez Mostar1.61
BSK Banja Luka0.82
1X2
Velez Mostar
Draw
BSK Banja Luka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Velez Mostar
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
BSK Banja Luka
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Velez Mostar
0–1
BSK Banja Luka
(1 last)
- BSK Banja Luka2-0Velez Mostar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Velez Mostar 1445 · BSK Banja Luka 1467
| Velez Mostar | Draw | BSK Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 55% | 27% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velez Mostar | BSK Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Velez Mostar 0–0–1 BSK Banja Luka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | BSK Banja Luka | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Velez Mostar |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 27 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | BSK Banja Luka | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 9 |
| 8 | FK Sloga Doboj | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 9 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
| 10 | Velez Mostar | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Velez Mostar | BSK Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|
| Siroki Brijeg | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| FK Sarajevo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Zeljeznicar | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 1-1 D | 4-4 D |
| NK Celik Zenica | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Borac Banja Luka | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velez Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
BSK Banja Luka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 4-4 | 13 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/09 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velez Mostar vs BSK Banja Luka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Velez Mostar win (55%). Probabilities: Velez Mostar 55%, draw 27%, BSK Banja Luka 18%.
How many goals are expected in Velez Mostar vs BSK Banja Luka?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Velez Mostar 1.61 · BSK Banja Luka 0.82), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Velez Mostar vs BSK Banja Luka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.