Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 22/10, 11:00

Prediction: Gardabani vs Iveria Khashuri

Team pages: Gardabani · Iveria Khashuri

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
Gardabani1.52
Iveria Khashuri2.44
1X2
22% 21% 57%
Gardabani Draw Iveria Khashuri
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Gardabani 0-0-10 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Iveria Khashuri 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WDLDLDLLDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gardabani 1348 · Iveria Khashuri 1464
GardabaniDrawIveria Khashuri
Our model22%20%57%
Market22%21%57%
Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iveria Khashuri (rating 1348 vs 1464).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GardabaniIveria Khashuri
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 3.81.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 1.41 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/20/80%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 4.32.1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 03.9 / 0.1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGardabaniIveria Khashuri
FC Iberia 2010 0-3 L 1-1 D
FC Margveti 2006 0-3 L 2-0 W
Guria Lanchkhuti 0-5 L 2-5 L
FC Merani Tbilisi 1-4 L 2-2 D
FC Tbilisi 2025 1-3 L 0-5 L
Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-4 L 2-5 L
FC Gonio 0-6 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 7 L 1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Iveria Khashuri (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gardabani

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-3 27 L
17/09 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-3 –– L
10/09 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-3 0-5 62 L
27/08 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-4 75 L
20/08 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-2 38 L
13/08 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-3 62 L
06/08 Wit Georgia
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-5 33 L
21/06 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
1-2 1-3 10 L
15/06 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 1-4 63 L
28/05 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-6 –– L

Iveria Khashuri

WDLDLDLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
5-0 8-0 32 W
09/10 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
2-1 2-2 25 D
27/08 FC Tbilisi 2025
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-5 43 L
20/08 Dinamo Tbilisi II
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 2-5 74 L
13/08 FC Gonio
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-1 26 D
06/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-1 34 L
21/06 Lokomotiv Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 53 D
15/06 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 2-5 23 L
28/05 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 –– D
14/05 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gardabani vs Iveria Khashuri?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Iveria Khashuri win (57%). Probabilities: Gardabani 22%, draw 21%, Iveria Khashuri 57%.

How many goals are expected in Gardabani vs Iveria Khashuri?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Gardabani 1.52 · Iveria Khashuri 2.44), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gardabani vs Iveria Khashuri?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.