Prediction: Saham vs Al-Nahda
- Al-Nahda1-1Saham
- Saham1-0Al-Nahda
- Al-Nahda1-0Saham
- Al-Nahda1-1Saham
- Al-Nahda2-2Saham
- Saham1-0Al-Nahda
| Saham | Draw | Al-Nahda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 29% | 54% |
| Market | 19% | 25% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Nahda (rating 1486 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Saham: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Saham | Al-Nahda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saham 2–3–1 Al-Nahda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/26 Oman Professional League Cup | Al-Nahda | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Saham |
| 07/03/26 Oman League | Saham | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Al-Nahda |
| 25/09/25 Oman League | Al-Nahda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Saham |
| 30/08/25 Oman Federation Cup | Al-Nahda | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Saham |
| 22/04/25 Oman League | Al-Nahda | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Saham |
| 28/01/25 Oman Sultans Cup | Saham | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al-Nahda |
Standings · Oman League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Nasr Salalah | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Nahda | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Shabab Seeb | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Saham | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Seeb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Bahla | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Oman FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Samail | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Ibri Club | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fanja | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Dhofar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Sohar Club | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 |
| 13 | Al Musannah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Sur SC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saham | Al-Nahda |
|---|---|---|
| Sur SC | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Bahla | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Samail | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Al-Nasr Salalah | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Al Shabab Seeb | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al-Nahda (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Fanja Oman League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Sur SC Oman League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/09 | Ibri Club Oman League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bahla Oman League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Samail Oman League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Al-Nasr Salalah Oman League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/05 | Sohar Club Oman League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/05 | Oman FC Oman League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/05 | Al Khaburah Oman League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/04 | Al Shabab Seeb Oman League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
Al-Nahda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Sur SC Oman League |
1-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Al Seeb Oman League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Al Shabab Seeb Oman League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Al Musannah Oman League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Al Shabab Seeb Oman League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Bahla Oman League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Al Seeb Oman League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | Al-Nasr Salalah Oman League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | Samail Oman League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Dhofar Oman League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saham vs Al-Nahda?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Nahda win (55%). Probabilities: Saham 18%, draw 27%, Al-Nahda 55%.
How many goals are expected in Saham vs Al-Nahda?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Saham 0.71 · Al-Nahda 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Saham vs Al-Nahda?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.