Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 28/10, 18:00

Prediction: NK Radomlje vs NS Mura

Team pages: NK Radomlje · NS Mura

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

NK Radomlje1.51

NS Mura1.67

1X2

33% 26% 40%

NK Radomlje Draw NS Mura

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Radomlje 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLLLDD

NS Mura 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLDDD

Head-to-head

NK Radomlje 4–1–1 NS Mura (6 last)

NS Mura1-3NK Radomlje
NK Radomlje3-2NS Mura
NS Mura2-0NK Radomlje
NK Radomlje3-1NS Mura
NS Mura0-0NK Radomlje
NK Radomlje2-0NS Mura

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Radomlje 1473 · NS Mura 1432

	NK Radomlje	Draw	NS Mura
Our model	34%	26%	41%
Market	33%	27%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Radomlje (rating 1473 vs 1432).
H2H favours NK Radomlje: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Radomlje	NS Mura
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.30

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +4’	2.70	3.30	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Radomlje 4–1–1 NS Mura

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/08/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NS Mura	1-3 HT 0-1	NK Radomlje
22/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Radomlje	3-2 HT 2-1	NS Mura
21/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NS Mura	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Radomlje
06/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Radomlje	3-1 HT 2-0	NS Mura
21/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NS Mura	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Radomlje
03/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Radomlje	2-0 HT 0-0	NS Mura

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Maribor	12	6	6	0	21	9	24
2	FC Koper	12	6	4	2	19	11	22
3	NK Bravo	12	5	4	3	14	13	19
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	12	5	3	4	14	11	18
5	NK Nafta 1903	12	5	2	5	18	16	17
6	NK Celje	11	4	4	3	12	11	16
7	Aluminij Kidricevo	12	3	4	5	16	13	13
8	NS Mura	12	2	5	5	13	24	11
9	NK Brinje Grosuplje	12	3	2	7	15	25	11
10	NK Radomlje	11	1	4	6	14	23	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Radomlje	NS Mura
NK Bravo	2-2 D	0-2 L
FC Koper	3-3 D	0-1 L
NK Brinje Grosuplje	1-2 L	2-1 W
NK Maribor	0-3 L	1-1 D
NK Nafta 1903	1-3 L	0-0 D
Olimpija Ljubljana	0-0 D	3-3 D
Aluminij Kidricevo	1-3 L	1-6 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Radomlje

DLWLDLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
10/10	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	2-2	3-3	2	8	D
20/09	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
13/09	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
04/09	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
29/08	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
16/08	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	1-3	1-3	6	8	L
10/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	3-1	0	4	W
02/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
26/07	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	2-0	2-2	6	5	D

NS Mura

LLWLLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
10/10	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	3-3	7	5	D
20/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
13/09	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-3	1-6	5	6	L
06/09	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	0	6	D
29/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
22/08	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
16/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	2	7	W
10/08	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
01/08	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	1-2	2-5	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Radomlje vs NS Mura?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NS Mura win (40%). Probabilities: NK Radomlje 33%, draw 26%, NS Mura 40%.

How many goals are expected in NK Radomlje vs NS Mura?

The model expects 3.18 goals (NK Radomlje 1.51 · NS Mura 1.67), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Radomlje vs NS Mura?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.