Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 28/10, 19:00
Prediction: Raja Casablanca vs HUSA Agadir
Team pages: Raja Casablanca · HUSA Agadir
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Raja Casablanca1.63
HUSA Agadir0.76
1X2
Raja Casablanca
Draw
HUSA Agadir
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Raja Casablanca
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
HUSA Agadir
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Raja Casablanca
6–0
HUSA Agadir
(6 last)
- Raja Casablanca2-0HUSA Agadir
- HUSA Agadir0-1Raja Casablanca
- Raja Casablanca1-0HUSA Agadir
- HUSA Agadir1-3Raja Casablanca
- HUSA Agadir2-4Raja Casablanca
- Raja Casablanca2-0HUSA Agadir
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raja Casablanca 1564 · HUSA Agadir 1513
| Raja Casablanca | Draw | HUSA Agadir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 16% |
| Market | 57% | 27% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raja Casablanca (rating 1564 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Raja Casablanca: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raja Casablanca | HUSA Agadir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raja Casablanca 6–0–0 HUSA Agadir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 HT 0-0 | HUSA Agadir |
| 01/03/26 Morocco GNF 1 | HUSA Agadir | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Raja Casablanca |
| 23/04/25 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HUSA Agadir |
| 01/12/24 Morocco GNF 1 | HUSA Agadir | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Raja Casablanca |
| 11/05/24 Morocco Cup | HUSA Agadir | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Raja Casablanca |
| 20/02/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | HUSA Agadir |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KACM Marrakesh | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | CODM Meknes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | WAC Casablanca | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | MAS Fes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | HUSA Agadir | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Difaa El Jadida | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
| 8 | Union de Touarga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Widad Temara | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | FUS Rabat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | US Amal Tiznit | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | RSB Berkane | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | MAT Tetouan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Renaissance Zemamra | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raja Casablanca | HUSA Agadir |
|---|---|---|
| MAS Fes | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Renaissance Zemamra | 1-0 W | 5-2 W |
| US Yacoub El Mansour | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| CODM Meknes | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Union de Touarga | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raja Casablanca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 25/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
HUSA Agadir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
3-2 | 5-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/07 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/06 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raja Casablanca vs HUSA Agadir?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raja Casablanca win (57%). Probabilities: Raja Casablanca 57%, draw 27%, HUSA Agadir 16%.
How many goals are expected in Raja Casablanca vs HUSA Agadir?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Raja Casablanca 1.63 · HUSA Agadir 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raja Casablanca vs HUSA Agadir?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.