Football · Romania Liga I · 24/10, 19:00
Prediction: FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Team pages: FC Botosani · Petrolul Ploiesti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
FC Botosani1.41
Petrolul Ploiesti0.89
1X2
FC Botosani
Draw
Petrolul Ploiesti
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Botosani
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Petrolul Ploiesti
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Botosani
1–2–3
Petrolul Ploiesti
(6 last)
- FC Botosani1-1Petrolul Ploiesti
- FC Botosani0-1Petrolul Ploiesti
- Petrolul Ploiesti0-0FC Botosani
- Petrolul Ploiesti0-2FC Botosani
- Petrolul Ploiesti3-1FC Botosani
- FC Botosani0-2Petrolul Ploiesti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Botosani 1494 · Petrolul Ploiesti 1514
| FC Botosani | Draw | Petrolul Ploiesti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Petrolul Ploiesti: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Botosani | Petrolul Ploiesti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Botosani 1–2–3 Petrolul Ploiesti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Romania Liga I | FC Botosani | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 07/03/26 Romania Liga I | FC Botosani | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Petrolul Ploiesti |
| 03/11/25 Romania Liga I | Petrolul Ploiesti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Botosani |
| 14/03/25 Romania Liga I | Petrolul Ploiesti | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Botosani |
| 27/01/25 Romania Liga I | Petrolul Ploiesti | 3-1 HT 3-0 | FC Botosani |
| 01/09/24 Romania Liga I | FC Botosani | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Petrolul Ploiesti |
Standings · Romania Liga I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucharest | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid Bucuresti | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | CS U Craiova | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | CFR Cluj | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
| 9 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | ACS Sepsi | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 14 |
| 13 | FC Arges Pitesti | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| 14 | Otelul Galati | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 8 |
| 16 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Botosani | Petrolul Ploiesti |
|---|---|---|
| ACS Sepsi | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Farul Constanta | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FCSB | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| CS Corvinul Hunedoara | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Universitatea Cluj | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Petrolul Ploiesti (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Botosani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | CFR Cluj Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Farul Constanta Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 24/08 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | FCSB Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 03/08 | Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Petrolul Ploiesti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Farul Constanta Romania Liga I |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | FCSB Romania Liga I |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 28/08 | Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Voluntari Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Otelul Galati Romania Liga I |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | CS U Craiova Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Botosani win (49%). Probabilities: FC Botosani 49%, draw 28%, Petrolul Ploiesti 23%.
How many goals are expected in FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The model expects 2.3 goals (FC Botosani 1.41 · Petrolul Ploiesti 0.89), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.