Football · Belarus Premier League · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Gomel
Team pages: Dnepr Mogilev · FK Gomel
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Dnepr Mogilev1.7
FK Gomel1.61
1X2
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw
FK Gomel
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Dnepr Mogilev
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
FK Gomel
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dnepr Mogilev
1–1–4
FK Gomel
(6 last)
- FK Gomel2-0Dnepr Mogilev
- FK Gomel1-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-1FK Gomel
- Dnepr Mogilev3-0FK Gomel
- FK Gomel1-0Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-4FK Gomel
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Gomel (rating 1467 vs 1509).
- H2H favours FK Gomel: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dnepr Mogilev | FK Gomel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.3 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dnepr Mogilev 1–1–4 FK Gomel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 20/10/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 27/05/24 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Gomel |
| 27/01/24 Club Friendly List | Dnepr Mogilev | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Gomel |
| 15/02/23 Club Friendly List | FK Gomel | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 28/08/22 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FK Gomel |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 22 | 58 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 52 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Isloch | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 55 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 26 | 47 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 25 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 23 | 40 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 33 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 43 | 28 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 44 | 27 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 47 | 24 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | 21 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 40 | 20 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 62 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dnepr Mogilev | FK Gomel |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Isloch | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Slavia Mozyr | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Gomel (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 07/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
FK Gomel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Gomel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dnepr Mogilev win (39%). Probabilities: Dnepr Mogilev 39%, draw 25%, FK Gomel 36%.
How many goals are expected in Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Gomel?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Dnepr Mogilev 1.7 · FK Gomel 1.61), with a 61% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Dnepr Mogilev vs FK Gomel?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.