Football · Belarus Premier League · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: BATE Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino
Team pages: BATE Borisov · Torpedo Zhodino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
BATE Borisov1.1
Torpedo Zhodino1.15
1X2
BATE Borisov
Draw
Torpedo Zhodino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
BATE Borisov
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Torpedo Zhodino
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BATE Borisov
2–4
Torpedo Zhodino
(6 last)
- Torpedo Zhodino3-0BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov2-0Torpedo Zhodino
- Torpedo Zhodino1-0BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-0Torpedo Zhodino
- Torpedo Zhodino3-2BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-2Torpedo Zhodino
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Zhodino (rating 1426 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Torpedo Zhodino: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BATE Borisov | Torpedo Zhodino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.5 | – / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BATE Borisov 2–0–4 Torpedo Zhodino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Belarus Premier League | Torpedo Zhodino | 3-0 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 14/03/26 Belarus Cup | BATE Borisov | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Torpedo Zhodino |
| 07/03/26 Belarus Cup | Torpedo Zhodino | 1-0 HT 1-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 25/10/25 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Torpedo Zhodino |
| 31/05/25 Belarus Premier League | Torpedo Zhodino | 3-2 HT 2-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 25/08/24 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Torpedo Zhodino |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 56 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Isloch | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 58 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 23 | 58 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 46 |
| 6 | FK Gomel | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 26 | 40 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 35 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Minsk | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 40 | 34 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 43 | 31 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | 27 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 24 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 41 | 23 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | 21 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 65 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BATE Borisov | Torpedo Zhodino |
|---|---|---|
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Neman Grodno | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Slavia Mozyr | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Minsk | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Torpedo Zhodino (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 14/10 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 07/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Torpedo Zhodino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/10 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BATE Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Torpedo Zhodino win (35%). Probabilities: BATE Borisov 33%, draw 31%, Torpedo Zhodino 35%.
How many goals are expected in BATE Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
The model expects 2.25 goals (BATE Borisov 1.1 · Torpedo Zhodino 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in BATE Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.