Football · Belarus Premier League · 08/11, 13:00
Prediction: Neman Grodno vs Dnepr Mogilev
Team pages: Neman Grodno · Dnepr Mogilev
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Neman Grodno1.78
Dnepr Mogilev1.1
1X2
Neman Grodno
Draw
Dnepr Mogilev
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Neman Grodno
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Dnepr Mogilev
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neman Grodno
5–1
Dnepr Mogilev
(6 last)
- Dnepr Mogilev2-0Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno3-1Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev0-2Neman Grodno
- Dnepr Mogilev1-2Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno2-0Dnepr Mogilev
- Dnepr Mogilev1-3Neman Grodno
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neman Grodno (rating 1558 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Neman Grodno: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neman Grodno | Dnepr Mogilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | – / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neman Grodno 5–0–1 Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Neman Grodno |
| 25/08/24 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 13/04/24 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Neman Grodno |
| 23/01/24 Club Friendly List | Dnepr Mogilev | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Neman Grodno |
| 20/10/22 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 18/06/22 Belarus Premier League | Dnepr Mogilev | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Neman Grodno |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 61 | 19 | 62 |
| 2 | Isloch | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 54 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 23 | 61 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 46 |
| 6 | FK Gomel | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Minsk | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 40 | 34 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 43 | 31 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | 27 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 53 | 24 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 41 | 23 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 24 | 70 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neman Grodno | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Minsk | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 1-4 L | 2-4 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| BATE Borisov | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Baranovichi | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Isloch | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Neman Grodno (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neman Grodno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 25/10 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/10 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/10 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Dnepr Mogilev
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/10 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neman Grodno vs Dnepr Mogilev?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Neman Grodno win (52%). Probabilities: Neman Grodno 52%, draw 25%, Dnepr Mogilev 22%.
How many goals are expected in Neman Grodno vs Dnepr Mogilev?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Neman Grodno 1.78 · Dnepr Mogilev 1.1), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Neman Grodno vs Dnepr Mogilev?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.