Football · Belarus Premier League · 06/11, 16:00
Prediction: FK Gomel vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Team pages: FK Gomel · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
FK Gomel1.71
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0.91
1X2
FK Gomel
Draw
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Gomel
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Gomel
2–2–2
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
(6 last)
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-1FK Gomel
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0-0FK Gomel
- FK Gomel0-2FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-0FK Gomel
- FK Gomel5-0FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- FK Gomel4-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Gomel (rating 1498 vs 1434).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Gomel | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.5 | – / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gomel 2–2–2 FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Gomel |
| 02/11/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gomel |
| 13/06/25 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 30/11/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Gomel |
| 06/07/24 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 5-0 HT 2-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
| 07/08/22 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 4-1 HT 1-0 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 56 | 19 | 59 |
| 2 | Isloch | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 58 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 23 | 58 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Neman Grodno | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 26 | 40 |
| 7 | FK Gomel | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 29 | 40 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 35 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Minsk | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 40 | 34 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 43 | 31 |
| 12 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 44 | 27 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 24 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 41 | 23 |
| 15 | BATE Borisov | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | 21 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 65 | 17 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Gomel | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
|---|---|---|
| Dnepr Mogilev | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Dinamo Minsk | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| FC ML Vitebsk | 1-5 L | 1-5 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Isloch | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 2-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Belshina Bobruisk | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Slavia Mozyr | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 0 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Gomel (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Gomel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 19/10 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/10 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Gomel vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Gomel win (55%). Probabilities: FK Gomel 55%, draw 26%, FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 19%.
How many goals are expected in FK Gomel vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
The model expects 2.62 goals (FK Gomel 1.71 · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0.91), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Gomel vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.