Football · Burkina Faso League · 18/10, 17:30

Prediction: Sonabel vs Vitesse FC

Team pages: Sonabel · Vitesse FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Sonabel1.19
Vitesse FC0.96
1X2
41% 31% 29%
Sonabel Draw Vitesse FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sonabel 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDDLLWWLWW
Vitesse FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLWWD
Head-to-head
Sonabel 1–3–2 Vitesse FC (6 last)
  • Vitesse FC2-0Sonabel
  • Sonabel1-2Vitesse FC
  • Sonabel0-0Vitesse FC
  • Vitesse FC0-0Sonabel
  • Sonabel2-0Vitesse FC
  • Sonabel0-0Vitesse FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sonabel 1522 · Vitesse FC 1550
SonabelDrawVitesse FC
Our model40%32%28%
Market41%30%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Vitesse FC: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SonabelVitesse FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.51 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.23 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 03.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonabel 1–3–2 Vitesse FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/03/26
Burkina Faso League
Vitesse FC2-0
HT 1-0
Sonabel
08/11/25
Burkina Faso League
Sonabel1-2
HT 1-1
Vitesse FC
15/02/25
Burkina Faso League
Sonabel0-0
HT 0-0
Vitesse FC
29/04/24
Burkina Faso League
Vitesse FC0-0
HT 0-0
Sonabel
26/10/23
Burkina Faso League
Sonabel2-0
HT 1-0
Vitesse FC
10/12/22
Burkina Faso League
Sonabel0-0
HT 0-0
Vitesse FC

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSonabelVitesse FC
US Comoe 2-0 W 0-0 D
AS Douanes Ouagadougou 1-2 L 0-1 L
CFFEB 1-1 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sonabel (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sonabel

LDDLLWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Sporting Cascades
Burkina Faso League
1-0 3-0 54 W
05/10 US Comoe
Burkina Faso League
2-0 2-0 54 W
26/09 FocuSport FC
Burkina Faso League
0-1 2-3 54 L
16/05 KOZAF
Burkina Faso League
1-0 2-0 53 W
03/05 ASF Bolo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
2-0 2-0 43 W
26/04 AS Douanes Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso League
0-2 1-2 59 L
18/04 RC Bobo Dioulasso
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-1 32 L
12/04 CFFEB
Burkina Faso League
0-1 1-1 –– D
04/04 RC Kadiogo
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 24 D
13/03 Vitesse FC
Burkina Faso League
0-1 0-2 42 L

Vitesse FC

WWWLWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 US Comoe
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-0 23 D
03/10 Majestic FC
Burkina Faso League
1-0 3-1 93 W
28/09 ASFA-Yennenga
Burkina Faso League
0-0 1-0 64 W
03/05 CFFEB
Burkina Faso League
1-2 2-3 24 L
26/04 Salitas FC
Burkina Faso League
3-1 3-1 55 W
18/04 Real du Faso
Burkina Faso League
2-1 2-1 76 W
10/04 AS Douanes Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso League
0-0 0-1 116 L
04/04 AJEB FC
Burkina Faso League
1-1 3-1 33 W
21/03 Etoile Filante Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso League
1-0 2-0 63 W
13/03 Sonabel
Burkina Faso League
1-0 2-0 82 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sonabel vs Vitesse FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sonabel win (41%). Probabilities: Sonabel 41%, draw 31%, Vitesse FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Sonabel vs Vitesse FC?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Sonabel 1.19 · Vitesse FC 0.96), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sonabel vs Vitesse FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.