Football · Tunisia League 1 · 23/10, 15:30

Prediction: US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien

Team pages: US Ben Guerdane · Stade Tunisien

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
US Ben Guerdane1.04
Stade Tunisien0.95
1X2
36% 33% 31%
US Ben Guerdane Draw Stade Tunisien
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
US Ben Guerdane 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLDLWDDWWW
Stade Tunisien 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLLLDWDLWW
Head-to-head
US Ben Guerdane 2–2–2 Stade Tunisien (6 last)
  • Stade Tunisien0-0US Ben Guerdane
  • US Ben Guerdane1-0Stade Tunisien
  • Stade Tunisien1-0US Ben Guerdane
  • US Ben Guerdane0-0Stade Tunisien
  • Stade Tunisien2-1US Ben Guerdane
  • US Ben Guerdane2-1Stade Tunisien
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Ben Guerdane 1545 · Stade Tunisien 1495
US Ben GuerdaneDrawStade Tunisien
Our model36%34%31%
Market36%33%31%
Estimated total (ours) 1.99 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Ben Guerdane (rating 1545 vs 1495).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Ben GuerdaneStade Tunisien
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 2.41.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.14.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Ben Guerdane 2–2–2 Stade Tunisien

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Tunisia League 1
Stade Tunisien0-0
HT 0-0
US Ben Guerdane
09/11/25
Tunisia League 1
US Ben Guerdane1-0
HT 1-0
Stade Tunisien
27/02/25
Tunisia League 1
Stade Tunisien1-0
HT 1-0
US Ben Guerdane
02/11/24
Tunisia League 1
US Ben Guerdane0-0
HT 0-0
Stade Tunisien
12/11/23
Tunisia League 1
Stade Tunisien2-1
HT 1-0
US Ben Guerdane
03/09/23
Tunisia League 1
US Ben Guerdane2-1
HT 1-1
Stade Tunisien

Standings · Tunisia League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 US Ben Guerdane 6420 11614
2 Esperance de Tunis 5401 10712
3 US Monastir 6330 8512
4 Progres Sakiet Eddaier 6321 5211
5 Club Africain 4301 429
6 JS Omrane 6231 659
7 CS Sfaxien 5221 648
8 Bizertin 5221 338
9 Stade Tunisien 4211 757
10 Etoile Sportive Sahel 5212 777
11 ES Zarzis 5203 556
12 Avenir de La Marsa 5122 435
13 CS Hammam Lif 6114 254
14 ES Metlaoui 6105 393
15 Olympique de Beja 6024 5102
16 ES Hammam Sousse 6015 191

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Ben GuerdaneStade Tunisien
ES Hammam Sousse 2-0 W 3-1 W
Club Africain 2-1 W 0-2 L
CS Sfaxien 1-1 D 1-1 D
US Monastir 3-3 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: US Ben Guerdane (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Ben Guerdane

WLDLWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 1
1-0 2-0 36 W
10/10 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
1-1 2-1 26 W
20/09 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 15 W
16/09 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-1 57 D
12/09 US Monastir
Tunisia League 1
2-1 3-3 15 D
30/08 Olympique de Beja
Tunisia League 1
2-0 2-1 44 W
14/05 Esperance de Tunis
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 12 L
08/05 Stade Tunisien
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 –– D
03/05 AS Soliman
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 –– L
30/04 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 1
1-0 1-0 –– W

Stade Tunisien

DLLLDWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 ES Metlaoui
Tunisia League 1
0-1 2-1 20 W
12/09 ES Hammam Sousse
Tunisia League 1
1-1 3-1 45 W
29/08 US Monastir
Tunisia League 1
1-2 1-2 34 L
22/08 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-1 –– D
13/05 AS Gabes
Tunisia League 1
0-0 1-0 –– W
08/05 US Ben Guerdane
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-0 –– D
03/05 Club Africain
Tunisia League 1
0-0 0-2 27 L
29/04 JS Omrane
Tunisia League 1
0-1 1-2 64 L
26/04 CS Sfaxien
Tunisia League 1
0-1 0-1 35 L
11/04 Bizertin
Tunisia League 1
1-1 1-1 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Ben Guerdane win (36%). Probabilities: US Ben Guerdane 36%, draw 33%, Stade Tunisien 31%.

How many goals are expected in US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?

The model expects 1.99 goals (US Ben Guerdane 1.04 · Stade Tunisien 0.95), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.