Football · Tunisia League 1 · 29/10, 14:30
Prediction: CS Sfaxien vs Esperance de Tunis
Team pages: CS Sfaxien · Esperance de Tunis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
CS Sfaxien0.76
Esperance de Tunis1
1X2
CS Sfaxien
Draw
Esperance de Tunis
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Sfaxien
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Esperance de Tunis
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Sfaxien
0–3–3
Esperance de Tunis
(6 last)
- Esperance de Tunis0-0CS Sfaxien
- CS Sfaxien1-2Esperance de Tunis
- Esperance de Tunis1-0CS Sfaxien
- CS Sfaxien0-1Esperance de Tunis
- CS Sfaxien0-0Esperance de Tunis
- Esperance de Tunis1-1CS Sfaxien
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Sfaxien 1566 · Esperance de Tunis 1589
| CS Sfaxien | Draw | Esperance de Tunis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 36% | 39% |
| Market | 27% | 32% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Esperance de Tunis: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Sfaxien | Esperance de Tunis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 3.3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Sfaxien 0–3–3 Esperance de Tunis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 Tunisia League 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CS Sfaxien |
| 02/11/25 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Esperance de Tunis |
| 03/05/25 Tunisia League 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CS Sfaxien |
| 29/12/24 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Esperance de Tunis |
| 20/06/24 Tunisia League 1 | CS Sfaxien | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Esperance de Tunis |
| 01/05/24 Tunisia League 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CS Sfaxien |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Esperance de Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | US Monastir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Bizertin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | JS Omrane | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Stade Tunisien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Avenir de La Marsa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | CS Hammam Lif | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Olympique de Beja | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 15 | ES Metlaoui | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 16 | ES Hammam Sousse | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Sfaxien | Esperance de Tunis |
|---|---|---|
| Bizertin | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| US Ben Guerdane | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Etoile Sportive Sahel | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Avenir de La Marsa | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Olympique de Beja | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CS Sfaxien (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Sfaxien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | ES Zarzis Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Esperance de Tunis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | CS Hammam Lif Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 23/08 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 30/04 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Sfaxien vs Esperance de Tunis?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Esperance de Tunis win (40%). Probabilities: CS Sfaxien 27%, draw 34%, Esperance de Tunis 40%.
How many goals are expected in CS Sfaxien vs Esperance de Tunis?
The model expects 1.76 goals (CS Sfaxien 0.76 · Esperance de Tunis 1), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Sfaxien vs Esperance de Tunis?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.