Football · Tunisia League 1 · 29/10, 14:30
Prediction: Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis
Team pages: Stade Tunisien · ES Zarzis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Stade Tunisien1.33
ES Zarzis0.61
1X2
Stade Tunisien
Draw
ES Zarzis
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Stade Tunisien
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
ES Zarzis
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stade Tunisien
2–3–1
ES Zarzis
(6 last)
- ES Zarzis0-0Stade Tunisien
- Stade Tunisien3-0ES Zarzis
- Stade Tunisien1-1ES Zarzis
- ES Zarzis1-1Stade Tunisien
- ES Zarzis0-3Stade Tunisien
- Stade Tunisien0-1ES Zarzis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stade Tunisien 1495 · ES Zarzis 1497
| Stade Tunisien | Draw | ES Zarzis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 31% | 16% |
| Market | 54% | 29% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stade Tunisien: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stade Tunisien | ES Zarzis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade Tunisien 2–3–1 ES Zarzis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Tunisia League 1 | ES Zarzis | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Stade Tunisien |
| 04/10/25 Tunisia League 1 | Stade Tunisien | 3-0 HT 1-0 | ES Zarzis |
| 19/01/25 Tunisia League 1 | Stade Tunisien | 1-1 HT 1-1 | ES Zarzis |
| 01/09/24 Tunisia League 1 | ES Zarzis | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Stade Tunisien |
| 20/04/24 Tunisia Cup | ES Zarzis | 0-3 | Stade Tunisien |
| 02/10/21 Tunisia League 1 | Stade Tunisien | 0-1 HT 0-0 | ES Zarzis |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Esperance de Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | US Monastir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Bizertin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | JS Omrane | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Stade Tunisien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Avenir de La Marsa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | CS Hammam Lif | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Olympique de Beja | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 15 | ES Metlaoui | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 16 | ES Hammam Sousse | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stade Tunisien | ES Zarzis |
|---|---|---|
| ES Metlaoui | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| ES Hammam Sousse | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| US Monastir | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| CS Sfaxien | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Club Africain | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stade Tunisien
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | ES Hammam Sousse Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | US Ben Guerdane Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 29/04 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
ES Zarzis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | ES Hammam Sousse Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | CS Sfaxien Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Bizertin Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/05 | Etoile Sportive Sahel Tunisia League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | Avenir de La Marsa Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Olympique de Beja Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade Tunisien win (54%). Probabilities: Stade Tunisien 54%, draw 30%, ES Zarzis 17%.
How many goals are expected in Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Stade Tunisien 1.33 · ES Zarzis 0.61), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Stade Tunisien vs ES Zarzis?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.