Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 10/10, 15:30

Prediction: Padova U19 vs Sampdoria U19

Team pages: Padova U19 · Sampdoria U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Padova U191.34

Sampdoria U191.58

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Padova U19 Draw Sampdoria U19

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Padova U19 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWDWWWL

Sampdoria U19 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Padova U19 0–2 Sampdoria U19 (2 last)

Sampdoria U192-1Padova U19
Padova U190-2Sampdoria U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Padova U19 1498 · Sampdoria U19 1541

	Padova U19	Draw	Sampdoria U19
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	32%	25%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sampdoria U19 (rating 1498 vs 1541).
H2H favours Sampdoria U19: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Padova U19	Sampdoria U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:55 +9’	2.80	3.60	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Padova U19 0–0–2 Sampdoria U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Sampdoria U19	2-1 HT 1-1	Padova U19
18/10/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Padova U19	0-2 HT 0-2	Sampdoria U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vicenza U19	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
2	Cremonese U19	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
2	Virtus Entella U19	3	2	0	1	8	5	6
4	Padova U19	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
5	Mantova U19	3	1	2	0	4	1	5
6	Sampdoria U19	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
7	Modena U19	3	1	1	1	10	8	4
8	Renate U19	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
9	Venezia U19	3	1	1	1	7	6	4
10	Union Brescia U19	3	1	1	1	6	6	4
11	Cittadella U19	2	1	0	1	6	7	3
12	Sudtirol U19	3	0	2	1	0	3	2
13	Reggiana U19	3	0	1	2	1	4	1
14	Lecco U19	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
15	Pro Vercelli U19	3	0	1	2	0	6	1
16	Udinese U19	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Padova U19	Sampdoria U19
Virtus Entella U19	1-4 L	3-1 W
Reggiana U19	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Padova U19

WLLDWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-4	1	4	L
12/09	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
05/09	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	4-0	4-0	2	4	W
23/05	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
16/05	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-1	13	2	D
09/05	Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
02/05	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
25/04	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	4	0	L
18/04	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
11/04	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Sampdoria U19

LDLWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-3	4-4	5	3	D
12/09	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	3-1	3	7	W
05/09	Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-0	5	1	D
09/05	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-1	4	10	W
02/05	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	4-1	6	3	W
25/04	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
18/04	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
11/04	Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	2-3	6	8	L
04/04	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
21/03	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Padova U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sampdoria U19 win (42%). Probabilities: Padova U19 32%, draw 26%, Sampdoria U19 42%.

How many goals are expected in Padova U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Padova U19 1.34 · Sampdoria U19 1.58), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Padova U19 vs Sampdoria U19?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.