Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19
Team pages: Spezia U19 · Monopoli U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Spezia U191.87
Monopoli U191.3
1X2
Spezia U19
Draw
Monopoli U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Spezia U19
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Monopoli U19
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spezia U19
4–2–0
Monopoli U19
(6 last)
- Monopoli U190-2Spezia U19
- Spezia U196-0Monopoli U19
- Spezia U191-1Monopoli U19
- Monopoli U191-3Spezia U19
- Spezia U195-0Monopoli U19
- Monopoli U193-3Spezia U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spezia U19 1506 · Monopoli U19 1485
| Spezia U19 | Draw | Monopoli U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Spezia U19: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spezia U19 | Monopoli U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spezia U19 4–2–0 Monopoli U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Monopoli U19 | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Spezia U19 |
| 17/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Monopoli U19 |
| 15/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Spezia U19 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Monopoli U19 |
| 18/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Monopoli U19 | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Spezia U19 |
| 21/08/24 Italy Primavera Cup | Spezia U19 | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Monopoli U19 |
| 16/03/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Monopoli U19 | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Spezia U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Catanzaro U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Bari U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Palermo U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Benevento U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Avellino U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Spezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Latina U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Monopoli U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Pescara U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Pisa U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Ascoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Napoli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Frosinone U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 | Cosenza U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 | Salernitana U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spezia U19 | Monopoli U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo U19 | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Ascoli U19 | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Perugia U19 | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Pescara U19 | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Crotone U19 | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Monopoli U19 (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spezia U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Empoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/03 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Monopoli U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 04/04 | Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spezia U19 win (50%). Probabilities: Spezia U19 50%, draw 24%, Monopoli U19 26%.
How many goals are expected in Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Spezia U19 1.87 · Monopoli U19 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.