Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: Union Brescia U19 vs Modena U19
Team pages: Union Brescia U19 · Modena U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Union Brescia U191.69
Modena U191.61
1X2
Union Brescia U19
Draw
Modena U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Brescia U19
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Modena U19
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Brescia U19
1–1–4
Modena U19
(6 last)
- Union Brescia U191-3Modena U19
- Modena U192-1Union Brescia U19
- Union Brescia U194-2Modena U19
- Modena U192-1Union Brescia U19
- Union Brescia U192-2Modena U19
- Modena U193-1Union Brescia U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Brescia U19 1481 · Modena U19 1533
| Union Brescia U19 | Draw | Modena U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Modena U19 (rating 1481 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Modena U19: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Brescia U19 | Modena U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Brescia U19 1–1–4 Modena U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Union Brescia U19 | 1-3 | Modena U19 |
| 20/09/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Modena U19 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Union Brescia U19 |
| 27/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Union Brescia U19 | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Modena U19 |
| 30/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Modena U19 | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Union Brescia U19 |
| 26/02/22 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Union Brescia U19 | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Modena U19 |
| 13/11/21 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Modena U19 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Union Brescia U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renate U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Vicenza U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Cremonese U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Virtus Entella U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Padova U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mantova U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Sampdoria U19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Modena U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | Venezia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Union Brescia U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Cittadella U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 12 | Udinese U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | Sudtirol U19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Reggiana U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Lecco U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Brescia U19 | Modena U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol U19 | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Como U19 | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Albinoleffe U19 | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Modena U19 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Brescia U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/03 | Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
Modena U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Brescia U19 vs Modena U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Brescia U19 win (39%). Probabilities: Union Brescia U19 39%, draw 25%, Modena U19 36%.
How many goals are expected in Union Brescia U19 vs Modena U19?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Union Brescia U19 1.69 · Modena U19 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Brescia U19 vs Modena U19?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.