Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 09/10, 18:00
Prediction: CF Pachuca III vs Industriales de Altamira FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
CF Pachuca III2.03
Industriales de Altamira FC1.12
1X2
CF Pachuca III
Draw
Industriales de Altamira FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
CF Pachuca III
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Industriales de Altamira FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CF Pachuca III 1588 · Industriales de Altamira FC 1536
| CF Pachuca III | Draw | Industriales de Altamira FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CF Pachuca III (rating 1588 vs 1536).
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Pachuca III | Industriales de Altamira FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.5 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Pachuca III
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Cordobes Futbol Club II Mexico Liga TDP |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Dragones Toluca II Mexico Liga TDP |
4-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Oaxaca II Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Halcones Negros FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/03 | Club Atlético Toltecas FC Mexico Liga TDP |
4-0 | 9-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/03 | CD Muxes Mexico Liga TDP |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/02 | Cefor 30-30 Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/02 | Lonsdaleita FC Mexico Liga TDP |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/02 | CD Muxes Mexico Liga TDP |
3-1 | 5-4 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/01 | Águilas Teotihuacán Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
Industriales de Altamira FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 29/04 | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Politecnico Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 23/04 | FC Politecnico Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/03 | CS Atletico Tulancingo Mexico Liga TDP |
2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | Tlapa Mazatecochco Mexico Liga TDP |
4-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/03 | PDLA FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Licantropos Mexico Liga TDP |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 15/02 | Cafeteros de Atlixco Mexico Liga TDP |
3-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Pachuca III vs Industriales de Altamira FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Pachuca III win (58%). Probabilities: CF Pachuca III 58%, draw 23%, Industriales de Altamira FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in CF Pachuca III vs Industriales de Altamira FC?
The model expects 3.16 goals (CF Pachuca III 2.03 · Industriales de Altamira FC 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Pachuca III vs Industriales de Altamira FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.