Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 17/10, 00:00

Prediction: Alamos vs CD Halcones de Rayón

Team pages: Alamos · CD Halcones de Rayón

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Alamos2.99
CD Halcones de Rayón0.99
1X2
77% 14% 9%
Alamos Draw CD Halcones de Rayón
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Alamos 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLLLWW
CD Halcones de Rayón 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLDLLL
Head-to-head
Alamos 1–1–2 CD Halcones de Rayón (4 last)
  • CD Halcones de Rayón0-1Alamos
  • Alamos0-1CD Halcones de Rayón
  • CD Halcones de Rayón1-1Alamos
  • CD Halcones de Rayón4-3Alamos
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alamos 1548 · CD Halcones de Rayón 1424
AlamosDrawCD Halcones de Rayón
Our model77%14%9%
Market78%13%9%
Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alamos (rating 1548 vs 1424).
  • H2H favours CD Halcones de Rayón: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AlamosCD Halcones de Rayón
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 0.81 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.10.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.92.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.13.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alamos 1–1–2 CD Halcones de Rayón

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/24
Mexico Liga TDP
CD Halcones de Rayón0-1
HT 0-0
Alamos
10/12/23
Mexico Liga TDP
Alamos0-1
HT 0-1
CD Halcones de Rayón
10/03/23
Mexico Liga TDP
CD Halcones de Rayón1-1
HT 0-0
Alamos
22/04/22
Mexico Liga TDP
CD Halcones de Rayón4-3
HT 1-3
Alamos

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alamos

WWWWWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 CD Muxes
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 3-1 71 W
19/09 Around Soccer
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-1 54 W
27/04 Delfines UGM
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 52 L
23/04 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 21 L
20/03 Sangre de Campeón
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 32 L
13/03 Oceanía FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-0 85 W
06/03 FormaFutIntegral AC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 2-1 62 W
28/02 Deportivo Independiente Mexiquense
Mexico Liga TDP
2-0 4-0 72 W
20/02 CEFOR Cuauhtémoc Blanco
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-0 35 W
30/01 CH Fútbol Club
Mexico Liga TDP
8-0 11-2 131 W

CD Halcones de Rayón

LWLWLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 CD Muxes
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-2 55 L
13/03 Valle de Xico FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-1 22 L
06/03 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-4 24 L
27/02 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 1-1 54 D
17/02 Santiago Tulantepec
Mexico Liga TDP
0-3 1-5 63 L
06/02 Azucareros de Tezonapa
Mexico Liga TDP
0-5 0-7 32 L
30/01 Halcones Zuñiga SC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 3-0 85 W
23/01 Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-5 41 L
18/01 Atlético Pachuca
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 4-1 38 W
05/12 FC Politecnico
Mexico Liga TDP
0-2 0-3 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alamos vs CD Halcones de Rayón?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alamos win (77%). Probabilities: Alamos 77%, draw 14%, CD Halcones de Rayón 9%.

How many goals are expected in Alamos vs CD Halcones de Rayón?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Alamos 2.99 · CD Halcones de Rayón 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Alamos vs CD Halcones de Rayón?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.