Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 10/10, 14:30

Prediction: Obolon Kyiv vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Team pages: Obolon Kyiv · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Obolon Kyiv1.01

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1.24

1X2

29% 30% 41%

Obolon Kyiv Draw FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Obolon Kyiv 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDDLLD

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWDLDL

Head-to-head

Obolon Kyiv 0–2–4 FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih (6 last)

Obolon Kyiv0-0FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2-1Obolon Kyiv
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1-0Obolon Kyiv
Obolon Kyiv0-1FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1-0Obolon Kyiv
Obolon Kyiv0-0FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Obolon Kyiv 1451 · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1508

	Obolon Kyiv	Draw	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Our model	29%	31%	40%
Market	30%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih (rating 1451 vs 1508).
H2H favours FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Obolon Kyiv	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.5	2 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.10

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:29 +6’	3.00	3.10	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Obolon Kyiv 0–2–4 FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Obolon Kyiv	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
30/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	2-1 HT 0-0	Obolon Kyiv
17/05/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	1-0 HT 0-0	Obolon Kyiv
24/11/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Obolon Kyiv	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
09/03/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	1-0 HT 0-0	Obolon Kyiv
28/08/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Obolon Kyiv	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	7	6	0	1	15	5	18
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	15	4	18
3	Karpaty Lviv	7	4	2	1	15	5	14
4	Dynamo Kiev	6	4	1	1	9	5	13
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12	4	12
6	FC Veres Rivne	7	2	3	2	6	6	9
7	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
8	LNZ Lebedyn	7	2	2	3	5	8	8
9	FC Zorya Lugansk	7	2	2	3	7	11	8
10	FC Livyi Bereh	6	1	4	1	4	3	7
11	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	7	1	4	2	4	6	7
12	Chernomorets Odessa	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
13	Kolos Kovalivka	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
14	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
15	Obolon Kyiv	7	0	4	3	2	12	4
16	FC Kudrivka	7	0	2	5	5	18	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Obolon Kyiv	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
Chernomorets Odessa	1-1 D	0-1 L
Kolos Kovalivka	0-0 D	2-2 D
Shakhtar Donetsk	1-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Obolon Kyiv

LWLLDDDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-1	4	12	D
12/09	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-3	1-3	5	5	L
06/09	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-5	0-5	4	6	L
28/08	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
15/08	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
08/08	Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
02/08	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-3	1	1	L
24/05	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
17/05	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
13/05	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-2	1-3	3	4	L

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

WWLDLWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
05/09	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-2	8	8	D
30/08	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
15/08	FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	3-1	4	2	W
01/08	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
23/05	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
17/05	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	2-3	1	0	L
12/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-1	0	2	W
08/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Obolon Kyiv vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih win (41%). Probabilities: Obolon Kyiv 29%, draw 30%, FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 41%.

How many goals are expected in Obolon Kyiv vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Obolon Kyiv 1.01 · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1.24), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Obolon Kyiv vs FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.