Football · Argentina Torneo A · 18/10, 21:00
Prediction: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Esgrima
Team pages: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela · Gimnasia y Esgrima
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela1.37
Gimnasia y Esgrima0.99
1X2
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Draw
Gimnasia y Esgrima
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia y Esgrima
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
3–3
Gimnasia y Esgrima
(6 last)
- Gimnasia y Esgrima4-1CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
- Gimnasia y Esgrima3-0CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela4-1Gimnasia y Esgrima
- Gimnasia y Esgrima1-0CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela2-0Gimnasia y Esgrima
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela3-1Gimnasia y Esgrima
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1505 · Gimnasia y Esgrima 1530
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Draw | Gimnasia y Esgrima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia y Esgrima | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.9 | 3.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 3–0–3 Gimnasia y Esgrima
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 4-1 HT 2-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 05/07/26 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 03/05/26 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
| 01/06/25 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
| 07/07/24 Argentina Torneo A | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Relegation round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia y Esgrima | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Club Atlético El Linqueño | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Escobar FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Sol de America de Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | CA Bartolome Mitre Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | CA Sarmiento de la Banda Argentina Torneo A |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Gimnasia y Esgrima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Sarmiento de Resistencia Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Boca Unidos Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Independiente Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Escobar FC Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Defensores Puerto Vilelas Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 13/08 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Tucuman Central Argentina Torneo A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Atlético El Linqueño Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA 9 de Julio Rafaela win (44%). Probabilities: CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 44%, draw 30%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 26%.
How many goals are expected in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?
The model expects 2.36 goals (CA 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.37 · Gimnasia y Esgrima 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia y Esgrima?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.